EH Bildu holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Biscay winner at the November 29 Spanish general election, reflecting consistent polling gains in the province. Recent surveys from late October and early November show the party ahead with roughly 25-26% vote share in Bizkaia, projected to secure two or three of the eight seats, ahead of PNV and PSOE in a narrow contest where small vote shifts alter D’Hondt outcomes. EH Bildu benefits from its institutional role supporting the national government and expansion into the PNV’s traditional stronghold, while the PNV faces erosion from prior alliances and internal pressures. PSOE remains competitive in second or third place. The tight margins among the top three parties sustain uncertainty until election night, with seat allocation sensitive to turnout and final vote distribution.