US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

35%

$51.5K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

98%

Luis Antonio Revilla

$32.8K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

4

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

33%

$213K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

16

Ends in 3 months

US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by...?

33%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

52

Ends in 9 months

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

32%

$131K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

65%

Alter Ego

$62 Vol.

$159 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

19%

$4.6K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

37%

$65.4K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

45%

59-60%

$307K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

57

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

CTRL Esports

$3.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

70%

RED Canids

$309 Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Valorant: Mandatory vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

Valorant: Mandatory vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

<1%

Mandatory

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

64%

PARIVISION

$20.8K Vol.

$75.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

65%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$284K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

BPL: Durbar Rajshahi vs Sylhet Strikers (Game Qualifier 2) - Team Top Batter

BPL: Durbar Rajshahi vs Sylhet Strikers (Game Qualifier 2) - Team Top Batter

-

$161 Vol.

Counter-Strike: Charrados FC vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Charrados FC vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

57%

Charrados FC

$5 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

53%

Team Vitality

$3.3K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

52%

ShindeN

$26.4K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

BPL: Sylhet Strikers vs Chattogram Challengers (Game 1) - Most Sixes

BPL: Sylhet Strikers vs Chattogram Challengers (Game 1) - Most Sixes

-

$6.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Imperial

$13.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fidel.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Fidel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Cuban regime falls in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 65% chance to Orbán - Hungary PM. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fidel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.