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Crimes predictions & odds

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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

1%

$657K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

13

Ends in about 1 month

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14%

$28.4K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

8%

$37.9K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

3%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$40.1K Liq.

1,035

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs Fire Flux Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs Fire Flux Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

51%

Banger Gang

$3 Vol.

$226 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Brute

$38.5K Vol.

Counter-Strike: TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES

$293 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Clutchain Female vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: Clutchain Female vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Clutchain Female

$1.3K Vol.

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

100%

Despedidos

$1.9K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Imperial

$13.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

cirahvi

$10.4K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

6%

$70.8K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Game Hunters

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$274 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: SINQU vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: SINQU vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES

$705 Vol.

Counter-Strike: BoyBand vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: BoyBand vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

62%

BoyBand

$0 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

51%

Banger Gang

$123 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above __?

Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above __?

51%

$225M

$0 Vol.

$66 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES

$256 Vol.

Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

50%

KAJO

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Crimes.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Crimes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 3% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Crimes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.