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Asteroid predictions & odds

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Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

14%

$154K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

8%

$7.2K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

37%

$301K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

$106K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

57%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

33

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

51

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

7%

$22.1K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

19%

↓ 0.08

$2.3K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $304

$125K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$645K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

47%

↓ 38

$67.9K Vol.

$41.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

92%

↑ $3.00

$195K Vol.

$125K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

10

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

55%

↑ $1.80

$1.5K Vol.

$438 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in May 2026?

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in May 2026?

70%

↓ $85

$56.2K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

61%

↑ $240

$404K Vol.

$50.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

33%

↓ $580

$51.6K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Asteroid.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Asteroid that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Asteroid predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.