How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

99%

<30

$624k Vol.

$50.3k today

$14.3k Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

9%

$2m Vol.

$205k Liq.

113

Ends in 11 months

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

87%

1.05–1.09ºC

$945k Vol.

$19.8k Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8?

Science

Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8?

100%

0

$227k Vol.

$2m Liq.

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?

99%

800

$199k Vol.

$24.9k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Science

SpaceX

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

5%

$504k Vol.

$44.0k Liq.

13

Ends in 11 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

87%

SpaceX

$154k Vol.

$71.9k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

99%

↑1k

$7m Vol.

$31.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

37%

>1.24ºC

$129k Vol.

$16.1k Liq.

Ends in 29 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

69%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$930k Vol.

$7.7k Liq.

14

Precipitation in Seattle in February?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in Seattle in February?

51%

<3"

$88.7k Vol.

$9.7k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

NASA Artemis II

Science

SpaceX

NASA Artemis II

60%

April 30

$332k Vol.

$12.0k Liq.

45

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

Science

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

43%

2.0T+

$128k Vol.

$47.0k Liq.

4

Ends in almost 2 years

How many SpaceX launches in February?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in February?

78%

11 or more

$102k Vol.

$22.4k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

35%

2

$1m Vol.

$50.4k Liq.

13

Ends in 11 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

27%

11–13

$563k Vol.

$32.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 5, 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 5, 2026?

78%

60–70

$10.5k Vol.

$7.6k Liq.

Ends in 4 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in February?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in February?

67%

<30

$49.0k Vol.

$8.1k Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Precipitation in NYC in February?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in NYC in February?

41%

2-3"

$64.6k Vol.

$5.8k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

$406k Vol.

$43.9k Liq.

23

Ends in 11 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Science.

Polymarket currently hosts 52 active markets for Science that lets you track or trade on predictions like "How many Tornadoes in the US in January?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑500. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Science predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.