Elon Musk predictions & odds

·
Grok 4.20 released on...?

Elon Musk

AI

Grok 4.20 released on...?

78%

No release by January 31

$353k Vol.

$63.2k today

$35.5k Liq.

11

Ends in 11 days

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Elon Musk

Business

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

12%

$307k Vol.

$62.1k today

$38.1k Liq.

23

Ends in 5 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

80%

1T+

$908k Vol.

$127k Liq.

28

Ends in almost 2 years

Grok 4.20 released by...?

Elon Musk

AI

Grok 4.20 released by...?

97%

April 20

$467k Vol.

$9.0k Liq.

103

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

Elon Musk

AI

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

27%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$34.3k Liq.

374

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

28%

$STAR

$1m Vol.

$54.7k Liq.

92

Ends in almost 2 years

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Elon Musk

Politics

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

52%

$39.0k Vol.

$7.0k Liq.

14

Ends in 12 months

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

68%

Morgan Stanley

$271k Vol.

$45.2k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Elon Musk

Business

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

57%

$204k Vol.

$21.0k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Grok 5 released by...?

Elon Musk

AI

Grok 5 released by...?

9%

March 31, 2026

$173k Vol.

$6.7k Liq.

27

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

82%

>$1T

$211k Vol.

$25.3k Liq.

2

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

64%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$539k Vol.

$7.4k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 days

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

36%

5-6

$10.0k Vol.

$3.5k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk

Business

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

90%

Elon Musk

$124k Vol.

$58.0k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

Elon Musk

Celebrities

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

11%

$2.7k Vol.

$2.6k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31?

Elon Musk

Culture

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31?

91%

670b+

$10.3k Vol.

$3.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Elon Musk

Politics

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

15%

$3.8k Vol.

$2.3k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Richest person on March 31?

Elon Musk

Business

Richest person on March 31?

98%

Elon Musk

$87.1k Vol.

$72.4k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

Elon Musk

Culture

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

12%

$4.9k Vol.

$3.5k Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?

Elon Musk

Celebrities

Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?

3%

$24.5k Vol.

$5.8k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 days