Tesla predictions & odds

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Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

Tesla

Elon Musk

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

27%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$35.8k Liq.

374

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Tesla

Business

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

57%

$204k Vol.

$21.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Tesla

Tech

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

6%

$33.8k Vol.

$7.5k Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

Tesla

AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

92%

Miami

$106k Vol.

$22.7k Liq.

7

Ends in 5 months

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

Tesla

AI

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

22%

7

$77.3k Vol.

$27.4k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

Tesla

Business

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

60%

<350k

$159k Vol.

$18.7k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Tesla

Business

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

26%

$6.3k Vol.

$8.0k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Tesla

Business

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

26%

$1.4k Vol.

$683 Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months