Quebec General Election Winner

Canada

Politics

Quebec General Election Winner

68%

PQ

$123k Vol.

$45.1k Liq.

30

Ends in 8 months

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Canada

Politics

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

61%

$57.2k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Canada

Politics

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

81%

Avi Lewis

$39.5k Vol.

$29.3k Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Canada recession before 2027?

Canada

Business

Canada recession before 2027?

43%

$7.9k Vol.

$8.9k Liq.

1

Ends in 11 months

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Canada

Politics

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

35%

$47.4k Vol.

$4.5k Liq.

14

Ends in 5 months

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Canada

Politics

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

12%

$5.4k Vol.

$2.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Canada

Economy

Bank of Canada decision in April?

81%

No change

$6.0k Vol.

$10.2k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

Canada

Politics

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

23%

$71.6k Vol.

$10.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Canada

World

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

46%

$855 Vol.

$3.0k Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 year

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

25%

$23.2k Vol.

$5.7k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Canada

Politics

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

12%

$719 Vol.

$2.6k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Canada

Politics

Another Canada election called by June 30?

36%

$34.0k Vol.

$4.0k Liq.

18

Ends in 5 months

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Canada

Economy

Bank of Canada decision in March?

94%

No change

$15.1k Vol.

$13.6k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Canada

Politics

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

10%

$21.0k Vol.

$5.3k Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

Will Alberta join the US?

Canada

Politics

Will Alberta join the US?

6%

$763 Vol.

$6.1k Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

11%

$3.2k Vol.

$1.9k Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Canada

Finance

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

53%

↑1.39

$105 Vol.

$2.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Canada

Politics

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

15%

$21.1k Vol.

$5.0k Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Canada

Inflation

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

80%

4.0%+

$97 Vol.

$6.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada

World

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

59%

Up

$702 Vol.

$507 Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Canada.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Canada that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Quebec General Election Winner". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $479K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Quebec General Election Winner," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Quebec General Election Winner," where the crowd is currently assigning a 68% chance to PQ. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Canada predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.