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"Avatar: Fire and Ash" total domestic gross by January 31?

Market icon

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" total domestic gross by January 31?

<400m 100.0%

400 - 440m <1%

440 - 480m <1%

480 - 520m <1%

Polymarket

$8,083,464 Vol.

<400m 100.0%

400 - 440m <1%

440 - 480m <1%

480 - 520m <1%

Polymarket

$8,083,464 Vol.

<400m

$2,850,512 Vol.

Yes

400 - 440m

$1,372,125 Vol.

No

440 - 480m

$1,451,967 Vol.

No

480 - 520m

$899,436 Vol.

No

>520m

$1,509,424 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" box office will gross domestically by January 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (December 19, 2025) and January 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including January 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$8,083,464
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" box office will gross domestically by January 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (December 19, 2025) and January 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including January 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

""Avatar: Fire and Ash" total domestic gross by January 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<400m" at 100%, followed by "400 - 440m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, ""Avatar: Fire and Ash" total domestic gross by January 31?" has generated $8.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on ""Avatar: Fire and Ash" total domestic gross by January 31?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for ""Avatar: Fire and Ash" total domestic gross by January 31?" is "<400m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "400 - 440m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for ""Avatar: Fire and Ash" total domestic gross by January 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.