Recent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, combined with resilient employment data and firm labor market conditions, have anchored trader expectations for a hold at the September FOMC meeting. Persistent price pressures have prompted markets to price out near-term easing and assign a modest probability to a 25-basis-point hike, while the September gathering’s inclusion of updated economic projections reinforces caution. Recent communications from officials, including signals that any easing bias may be removed following the June decision, further support the current pricing. Traders view incoming CPI, PCE, and payroll figures through September as the primary catalysts that could shift probabilities between a steady policy rate and modest tightening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No change 74%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 5.6%
50+ bps decrease 2.1%
$272,668 거래량
$272,668 거래량
2026.09.16
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
6%
No change
74%
25 bps increase
16%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 74%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 5.6%
50+ bps decrease 2.1%
$272,668 거래량
$272,668 거래량
2026.09.16
50+ bps decrease
$49,289 거래량
2%
25 bps decrease
$49,306 거래량
6%
No change
$80,172 거래량
74%
25 bps increase
$53,639 거래량
16%
50+ bps increase
$40,261 거래량
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, combined with resilient employment data and firm labor market conditions, have anchored trader expectations for a hold at the September FOMC meeting. Persistent price pressures have prompted markets to price out near-term easing and assign a modest probability to a 25-basis-point hike, while the September gathering’s inclusion of updated economic projections reinforces caution. Recent communications from officials, including signals that any easing bias may be removed following the June decision, further support the current pricing. Traders view incoming CPI, PCE, and payroll figures through September as the primary catalysts that could shift probabilities between a steady policy rate and modest tightening.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
거래량
$272,668종료일
2026.09.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, combined with resilient employment data and firm labor market conditions, have anchored trader expectations for a hold at the September FOMC meeting. Persistent price pressures have prompted markets to price out near-term easing and assign a modest probability to a 25-basis-point hike, while the September gathering’s inclusion of updated economic projections reinforces caution. Recent communications from officials, including signals that any easing bias may be removed following the June decision, further support the current pricing. Traders view incoming CPI, PCE, and payroll figures through September as the primary catalysts that could shift probabilities between a steady policy rate and modest tightening.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$272,668종료일
2026.09.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, combined with resilient employment data and firm labor market conditions, have anchored trader expectations for a hold at the September FOMC meeting. Persistent price pressures have prompted markets to price out near-term easing and assign a modest probability to a 25-basis-point hike, while the September gathering’s inclusion of updated economic projections reinforces caution. Recent communications from officials, including signals that any easing bias may be removed following the June decision, further support the current pricing. Traders view incoming CPI, PCE, and payroll figures through September as the primary catalysts that could shift probabilities between a steady policy rate and modest tightening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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