Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president since Nicolás Maduro's early January 2026 ouster by U.S. forces drives her 65% trader consensus as head of state by year-end, bolstered by recent March military reshuffles replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and senior commanders to consolidate control amid U.S.-backed stabilization. Maduro's ongoing U.S. court appearances, including a March 26 hearing on charges, diminish his 15% odds despite loyalist support. Opposition figures like María Corina Machado hold 14% on pledges for free elections—yet without a set date—amid coalition tensions and U.S. diplomatic engagement with Rodríguez, reflecting trader bets on her continuity through transition uncertainties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez 65%
Nicolás Maduro 15.3%
María Corina Machado 14%
Edmundo González 1.0%
$78,493,565 Vol.
$78,493,565 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
65%
Nicolás Maduro
15%
María Corina Machado
14%
Edmundo González
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Donald Trump
1%
No Head of State
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 65%
Nicolás Maduro 15.3%
María Corina Machado 14%
Edmundo González 1.0%
$78,493,565 Vol.
$78,493,565 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,256,095 Vol.
65%
Nicolás Maduro
$890,028 Vol.
15%
María Corina Machado
$858,865 Vol.
14%
Edmundo González
$453,231 Vol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,268,258 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$687,799 Vol.
1%
No Head of State
$741,027 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$449,956 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$864,060 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$653,256 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$24,652,679 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,063,451 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,145,547 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$2,748,896 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$1,967,274 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$30,793,250 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president since Nicolás Maduro's early January 2026 ouster by U.S. forces drives her 65% trader consensus as head of state by year-end, bolstered by recent March military reshuffles replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and senior commanders to consolidate control amid U.S.-backed stabilization. Maduro's ongoing U.S. court appearances, including a March 26 hearing on charges, diminish his 15% odds despite loyalist support. Opposition figures like María Corina Machado hold 14% on pledges for free elections—yet without a set date—amid coalition tensions and U.S. diplomatic engagement with Rodríguez, reflecting trader bets on her continuity through transition uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$78,493,565End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president since Nicolás Maduro's early January 2026 ouster by U.S. forces drives her 65% trader consensus as head of state by year-end, bolstered by recent March military reshuffles replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and senior commanders to consolidate control amid U.S.-backed stabilization. Maduro's ongoing U.S. court appearances, including a March 26 hearing on charges, diminish his 15% odds despite loyalist support. Opposition figures like María Corina Machado hold 14% on pledges for free elections—yet without a set date—amid coalition tensions and U.S. diplomatic engagement with Rodríguez, reflecting trader bets on her continuity through transition uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$78,493,565End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president since Nicolás Maduro's early January 2026 ouster by U.S. forces drives her 65% trader consensus as head of state by year-end, bolstered by recent March military reshuffles replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and senior commanders to consolidate control amid U.S.-backed stabilization. Maduro's ongoing U.S. court appearances, including a March 26 hearing on charges, diminish his 15% odds despite loyalist support. Opposition figures like María Corina Machado hold 14% on pledges for free elections—yet without a set date—amid coalition tensions and U.S. diplomatic engagement with Rodríguez, reflecting trader bets on her continuity through transition uncertainties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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