Delcy Rodríguez's position as interim president since Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture on January 3 has solidified trader consensus at 66.5%, driven by her recent military high command overhaul—including dismissing defense minister Vladimir Padrino López—and the Trump administration's April 1 sanction removal, signaling diplomatic normalization alongside embassy reopening. Maduro trails at 16% amid his ongoing U.S. detention, while opposition leader María Corina Machado's 13.5% reflects revitalized street protests and U.S. meetings but lacks official recognition or power transition. Chavista figures like Diosdado Cabello linger low at 1.8%, with U.S. officials improbable absent deeper intervention, as Rodríguez balances regime continuity and reform pressures ahead of any 2026 elections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez 67%
Nicolás Maduro 16.0%
María Corina Machado 14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón 1.8%
$79,826,164 Vol.
$79,826,164 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
67%
Nicolás Maduro
16%
María Corina Machado
14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
2%
No Head of State
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 67%
Nicolás Maduro 16.0%
María Corina Machado 14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón 1.8%
$79,826,164 Vol.
$79,826,164 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,284,658 Vol.
67%
Nicolás Maduro
$911,754 Vol.
16%
María Corina Machado
$868,187 Vol.
14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,296,668 Vol.
2%
No Head of State
$759,755 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$758,488 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$662,718 Vol.
<1%
Edmundo González
$507,008 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,080,288 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$460,672 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$868,077 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,245,209 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$24,726,848 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$31,357,871 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$3,067,735 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$1,970,326 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's position as interim president since Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture on January 3 has solidified trader consensus at 66.5%, driven by her recent military high command overhaul—including dismissing defense minister Vladimir Padrino López—and the Trump administration's April 1 sanction removal, signaling diplomatic normalization alongside embassy reopening. Maduro trails at 16% amid his ongoing U.S. detention, while opposition leader María Corina Machado's 13.5% reflects revitalized street protests and U.S. meetings but lacks official recognition or power transition. Chavista figures like Diosdado Cabello linger low at 1.8%, with U.S. officials improbable absent deeper intervention, as Rodríguez balances regime continuity and reform pressures ahead of any 2026 elections.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$79,826,164End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's position as interim president since Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture on January 3 has solidified trader consensus at 66.5%, driven by her recent military high command overhaul—including dismissing defense minister Vladimir Padrino López—and the Trump administration's April 1 sanction removal, signaling diplomatic normalization alongside embassy reopening. Maduro trails at 16% amid his ongoing U.S. detention, while opposition leader María Corina Machado's 13.5% reflects revitalized street protests and U.S. meetings but lacks official recognition or power transition. Chavista figures like Diosdado Cabello linger low at 1.8%, with U.S. officials improbable absent deeper intervention, as Rodríguez balances regime continuity and reform pressures ahead of any 2026 elections.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$79,826,164End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delcy Rodríguez's position as interim president since Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture on January 3 has solidified trader consensus at 66.5%, driven by her recent military high command overhaul—including dismissing defense minister Vladimir Padrino López—and the Trump administration's April 1 sanction removal, signaling diplomatic normalization alongside embassy reopening. Maduro trails at 16% amid his ongoing U.S. detention, while opposition leader María Corina Machado's 13.5% reflects revitalized street protests and U.S. meetings but lacks official recognition or power transition. Chavista figures like Diosdado Cabello linger low at 1.8%, with U.S. officials improbable absent deeper intervention, as Rodríguez balances regime continuity and reform pressures ahead of any 2026 elections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions