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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.8%

France 13.2%

Denmark 10.3%

Australia 7.9%

Polymarket

$50,026,515 Vol.

Finland 34.8%

France 13.2%

Denmark 10.3%

Australia 7.9%

Polymarket

$50,026,515 Vol.

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Finland

$1,824,834 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,376,039 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$889,256 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,151,712 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,280,216 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,201,436 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$923,186 Vol.

4%

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Italy

$1,490,086 Vol.

2%

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Ukraine

$1,090,338 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$875,206 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,088,869 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$940,460 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$757,981 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,101,045 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,207,600 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,065,345 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$877,550 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,019,489 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$673,126 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,230,428 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$934,190 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,250,138 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,905,972 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,987,060 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,973,912 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,342,974 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,022,474 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,472,378 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,561,201 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,854,824 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$767,496 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,732,963 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,232,294 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,876,371 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,055,816 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 after dominating UMK with "Liekinheitin" on February 28, sweeping both international jury and televote for broad appeal that traders see translating to Vienna's split voting. Their commanding 34.8% implied probability reflects sustained momentum from pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and OGAE fan poll endorsements, including France's 12 points. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") trail at 13.2% and 10.3%, buoyed by solid national final wins but lacking Finland's dual-vote edge amid a fragmented field where Greece and Australia lurk as televote threats. With semis looming May 12-14, upcoming rehearsals could shift the wide-open dynamics.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 after dominating UMK with "Liekinheitin" on February 28, sweeping both international jury and televote for broad appeal that traders see translating to Vienna's split voting. Their commanding 34.8% implied probability reflects sustained momentum from pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and OGAE fan poll endorsements, including France's 12 points. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") trail at 13.2% and 10.3%, buoyed by solid national final wins but lacking Finland's dual-vote edge amid a fragmented field where Greece and Australia lurk as televote threats. With semis looming May 12-14, upcoming rehearsals could shift the wide-open dynamics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 after dominating UMK with "Liekinheitin" on February 28, sweeping both international jury and televote for broad appeal that traders see translating to Vienna's split voting. Their commanding 34.8% implied probability reflects sustained momentum from pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and OGAE fan poll endorsements, including France's 12 points. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") trail at 13.2% and 10.3%, buoyed by solid national final wins but lacking Finland's dual-vote edge amid a fragmented field where Greece and Australia lurk as televote threats. With semis looming May 12-14, upcoming rehearsals could shift the wide-open dynamics.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 after dominating UMK with "Liekinheitin" on February 28, sweeping both international jury and televote for broad appeal that traders see translating to Vienna's split voting. Their commanding 34.8% implied probability reflects sustained momentum from pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and OGAE fan poll endorsements, including France's 12 points. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") trail at 13.2% and 10.3%, buoyed by solid national final wins but lacking Finland's dual-vote edge amid a fragmented field where Greece and Australia lurk as televote threats. With semis looming May 12-14, upcoming rehearsals could shift the wide-open dynamics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

21%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

71%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

88%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $50 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.