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Eurovision Winner 2026

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Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.9%

France 13.2%

Denmark 11.2%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,264,537 Vol.

Finland 34.9%

France 13.2%

Denmark 11.2%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,264,537 Vol.

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Finland

$1,822,581 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,366,944 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$868,773 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,147,412 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,273,446 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,197,766 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$920,229 Vol.

4%

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Italy

$1,485,263 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,085,877 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$871,314 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,065,167 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$937,614 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$757,294 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,066,304 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,055,940 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$872,578 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,017,407 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,204,811 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$672,878 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,230,183 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$932,353 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,242,854 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,858,441 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,941,729 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,311,512 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,982,226 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,443,782 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,822,930 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$760,453 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,705,490 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,199,807 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,940,682 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,870,743 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,023,527 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,314,868 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, propelled by their early March UMK national final triumph and a standout entry blending jury-pleasing production with high-energy televote punch—echoing Nordic winners like 2023's "Cha Cha Cha." Recent Melodi Grand Prix victor Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" (Denmark, 11.4%) and France's Monroe with "Regarde" (12.6%) hold strong on polished pop appeal and precursor buzz, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 7.8%) and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 6.7%) leverage star power in a splintered field of 37 contenders. With national selections largely wrapped, semi-final allocations and Vienna rehearsals loom as pivotal momentum shifters before the May 16 final.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, propelled by their early March UMK national final triumph and a standout entry blending jury-pleasing production with high-energy televote punch—echoing Nordic winners like 2023's "Cha Cha Cha." Recent Melodi Grand Prix victor Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" (Denmark, 11.4%) and France's Monroe with "Regarde" (12.6%) hold strong on polished pop appeal and precursor buzz, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 7.8%) and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 6.7%) leverage star power in a splintered field of 37 contenders. With national selections largely wrapped, semi-final allocations and Vienna rehearsals loom as pivotal momentum shifters before the May 16 final.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, propelled by their early March UMK national final triumph and a standout entry blending jury-pleasing production with high-energy televote punch—echoing Nordic winners like 2023's "Cha Cha Cha." Recent Melodi Grand Prix victor Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" (Denmark, 11.4%) and France's Monroe with "Regarde" (12.6%) hold strong on polished pop appeal and precursor buzz, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 7.8%) and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 6.7%) leverage star power in a splintered field of 37 contenders. With national selections largely wrapped, semi-final allocations and Vienna rehearsals loom as pivotal momentum shifters before the May 16 final.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, propelled by their early March UMK national final triumph and a standout entry blending jury-pleasing production with high-energy televote punch—echoing Nordic winners like 2023's "Cha Cha Cha." Recent Melodi Grand Prix victor Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" (Denmark, 11.4%) and France's Monroe with "Regarde" (12.6%) hold strong on polished pop appeal and precursor buzz, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 7.8%) and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 6.7%) leverage star power in a splintered field of 37 contenders. With national selections largely wrapped, semi-final allocations and Vienna rehearsals loom as pivotal momentum shifters before the May 16 final.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $49.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.