March Inflation US - Annual

Q: What is the "March Inflation US - Annual" prediction market?

"March Inflation US - Annual" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "≥2.8%" at 100%, followed by "≤2.0%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

Q: How much trading activity has "March Inflation US - Annual" generated on Polymarket?

As of today, "March Inflation US - Annual" has generated $3.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

Q: How do I trade on "March Inflation US - Annual"?

To trade on "March Inflation US - Annual," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

Q: What are the current odds for "March Inflation US - Annual"?

The current frontrunner for "March Inflation US - Annual" is "≥2.8%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≤2.0%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

Q: How will "March Inflation US - Annual" be resolved?

The resolution rules for "March Inflation US - Annual" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Q: Can I follow "March Inflation US - Annual" without placing a trade?

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "March Inflation US - Annual." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Q: Why are Polymarket's odds for "March Inflation US - Annual" considered reliable?

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $3.3 million traded on "March Inflation US - Annual," these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket's prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

Q: How do I start trading on "March Inflation US - Annual"?

To place your first trade on "March Inflation US - Annual," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

Q: What does a price of 100¢ for "≥2.8%" mean?

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "≥2.8%" in the "March Inflation US - Annual" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "≥2.8%" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

Q: When does the "March Inflation US - Annual" market close?

The "March Inflation US - Annual" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

Economy·Inflation

March Inflation US - Annual

Ended: Apr 10

May 12

Ended: Apr 10

May 12

≥2.8% 100.0%

≤2.0% <1%

2.1% <1%

2.2% <1%

$3,344,780 Vol.

Apr 10, 2026

≤2.0%

$213,922 Vol.

2.1%

$103,332 Vol.

2.2%

$107,932 Vol.

2.3%

$239,086 Vol.

2.4%

$208,605 Vol.

2.5%

$205,962 Vol.

2.6%

$176,981 Vol.

2.7%

$188,599 Vol.

≥2.8%

$1,900,362 Vol.

Yes

≥2.8% 100.0%

≤2.0% <1%

2.1% <1%

2.2% <1%

$3,344,780 Vol.

Apr 10, 2026

≤2.0%

$213,922 Vol.

2.1%

$103,332 Vol.

2.2%

$107,932 Vol.

2.3%

$239,086 Vol.

2.4%

$208,605 Vol.

2.5%

$205,962 Vol.

2.6%

$176,981 Vol.

2.7%

$188,599 Vol.

≥2.8%

$1,900,362 Vol.

Yes

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?

85%

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

31%

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?

39%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"March Inflation US - Annual" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "≥2.8%" at 100%, followed by "≤2.0%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "March Inflation US - Annual" has generated $3.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "March Inflation US - Annual," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "March Inflation US - Annual" is "≥2.8%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≤2.0%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "March Inflation US - Annual" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "March Inflation US - Annual." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $3.3 million traded on “March Inflation US - Annual,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "March Inflation US - Annual," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "≥2.8%" in the "March Inflation US - Annual" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "≥2.8%" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "March Inflation US - Annual" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "March Inflation US - Annual" market has an active community of 180 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "March Inflation US - Annual." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (180)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "March Inflation US - Annual" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "March Inflation US - Annual" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "March Inflation US - Annual"?

What are the current odds for "March Inflation US - Annual"?

How will "March Inflation US - Annual" be resolved?

Can I follow "March Inflation US - Annual" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "March Inflation US - Annual" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "March Inflation US - Annual"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "≥2.8%" mean?

When does the "March Inflation US - Annual" market close?

What are traders saying about "March Inflation US - Annual"?

What is Polymarket?