Trader consensus on Polymarket has tilted toward a "yes" outcome for the NYSE Composite (NYA) closing the week of March 16 above key threshold levels, primarily fueled by resilient U.S. economic data and anticipation of the FOMC meeting on March 19-20. Recent CPI inflation figures on March 12 came in softer than expected at 3.2% year-over-year, bolstering hopes for steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate with dovish signals, supporting broad market gains—NYA up 1.2% week-to-date amid tech and financial sector strength. However, risks linger from PPI data March 14 and potential hot readings pressuring yields higher; watch 5.3% 10-year Treasury as a pivot for resolution by Friday's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
Mar 20, 2026
18,600
100%
18,750
100%
18,900
100%
19,050
100%
19,200
99%
19,350
99%
19,500
95%
$1,957 Vol.
18,600
$0 Vol.
100%
18,750
$0 Vol.
100%
18,900
$0 Vol.
100%
19,050
$0 Vol.
100%
19,200
$750 Vol.
99%
19,350
$735 Vol.
99%
19,500
$472 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$1,957End Date
Mar 20, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$1,957End Date
Mar 20, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has tilted toward a "yes" outcome for the NYSE Composite (NYA) closing the week of March 16 above key threshold levels, primarily fueled by resilient U.S. economic data and anticipation of the FOMC meeting on March 19-20. Recent CPI inflation figures on March 12 came in softer than expected at 3.2% year-over-year, bolstering hopes for steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate with dovish signals, supporting broad market gains—NYA up 1.2% week-to-date amid tech and financial sector strength. However, risks linger from PPI data March 14 and potential hot readings pressuring yields higher; watch 5.3% 10-year Treasury as a pivot for resolution by Friday's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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