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Highest temperature in Toronto on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Toronto on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

0°C 91.7%

1°C 8.8%

3°C or higher 1.2%

2°C <1%

Polymarket

$141,397 Vol.

0°C 91.7%

1°C 8.8%

3°C or higher 1.2%

2°C <1%

Polymarket

$141,397 Vol.

0°C

$12,333 Vol.

92%

1°C

$6,231 Vol.

9%

2°C

$8,182 Vol.

1%

3°C or higher

$17,484 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 0°C in Toronto on March 27 (87.4% implied probability), driven by the latest Environment Canada forecast and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs near freezing amid a deep Arctic air mass. Persistent northerly winds and lingering snow cover across southern Ontario have suppressed temperatures, with recent 48-hour updates eliminating earlier mild scenarios after a high-pressure ridge strengthened over the Great Lakes. Climatologically, late March highs average 6°C, but this cold anomaly aligns with a negative North Atlantic Oscillation pattern. New observational data and forecast refinements expected daily could shift odds slightly, though sub-3°C outcomes dominate due to limited solar heating and short daylight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$141,397
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 0°C in Toronto on March 27 (87.4% implied probability), driven by the latest Environment Canada forecast and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs near freezing amid a deep Arctic air mass. Persistent northerly winds and lingering snow cover across southern Ontario have suppressed temperatures, with recent 48-hour updates eliminating earlier mild scenarios after a high-pressure ridge strengthened over the Great Lakes. Climatologically, late March highs average 6°C, but this cold anomaly aligns with a negative North Atlantic Oscillation pattern. New observational data and forecast refinements expected daily could shift odds slightly, though sub-3°C outcomes dominate due to limited solar heating and short daylight.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 0°C in Toronto on March 27 (87.4% implied probability), driven by the latest Environment Canada forecast and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs near freezing amid a deep Arctic air mass. Persistent northerly winds and lingering snow cover across southern Ontario have suppressed temperatures, with recent 48-hour updates eliminating earlier mild scenarios after a high-pressure ridge strengthened over the Great Lakes. Climatologically, late March highs average 6°C, but this cold anomaly aligns with a negative North Atlantic Oscillation pattern. New observational data and forecast refinements expected daily could shift odds slightly, though sub-3°C outcomes dominate due to limited solar heating and short daylight.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Toronto on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0°C" at 92%, followed by "1°C" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Toronto on March 27?" has generated $141.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Toronto on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Toronto on March 27?" is "0°C" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1°C" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Toronto on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.