Trader consensus on Polymarket's "IPOs before 2027?" market heavily favors AI chipmaker Cerebras at 100% implied probability, driven by its April S-1 filing and recent upsizing to a $150-$160 share price range—potentially valuing it at $49 billion in the largest 2026 IPO to date, amid surging demand for its wafer-scale AI accelerators challenging Nvidia. SpaceX follows at 94%, bolstered by reports targeting a mid-2026 listing at $1.75 trillion valuation, while Anthropic's 63% reflects robust large language model advancements and sector momentum. Buoyant conditions with 129 U.S. listings year-to-date (up 9% YoY) and favorable rates fuel optimism, though Stripe's quiet readiness signals and Databricks' AI lakehouse growth add tailwinds; watch for confidential S-1s from OpenAI (29%) or Discord (54%), as historical timeline slips and market volatility pose risks before year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6,189,146 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Cerebras
100%
SpaceX
94%
Anthropic
63%
Discord
52%
Remote
31%
OpenAI
29%
Deel
25%
Ledger
22%
Epic Games
20%
Rippling
17%
Mistral AI
16%
Databricks
15%
Applied Intuition
15%
Anduril
14%
WHOOP
14%
Freddie Mac
13%
ByteDance
13%
SHEIN
13%
Glean
12%
Fannie Mae
12%
Ramp
11%
Anduril Industries
10%
Ripple Labs
9%
Stripe
9%
Vanta
9%
Celonis
8%
Revolut
7%
Anysphere (Cursor)
7%
Waymo
6%
Canva
5%
Brex
1%
$6,189,146 Vol.
Cerebras
$420,345 Vol.
100%
SpaceX
$571,225 Vol.
94%
Anthropic
$221,100 Vol.
63%
Discord
$445,199 Vol.
52%
Remote
$54,425 Vol.
31%
OpenAI
$232,637 Vol.
29%
Deel
$121,759 Vol.
25%
Ledger
$508,190 Vol.
22%
Epic Games
$73,285 Vol.
20%
Rippling
$117,247 Vol.
17%
Mistral AI
$148,537 Vol.
16%
Databricks
$467,927 Vol.
15%
Applied Intuition
$191,750 Vol.
15%
Anduril
$350,377 Vol.
14%
WHOOP
$178 Vol.
14%
Freddie Mac
$244,586 Vol.
13%
ByteDance
$10,461 Vol.
13%
SHEIN
$78,458 Vol.
13%
Glean
$44,644 Vol.
12%
Fannie Mae
$161,250 Vol.
12%
Ramp
$144,008 Vol.
11%
Anduril Industries
$31,032 Vol.
10%
Ripple Labs
$145,650 Vol.
9%
Stripe
$250,193 Vol.
9%
Vanta
$130,411 Vol.
9%
Celonis
$207,858 Vol.
8%
Revolut
$56,710 Vol.
7%
Anysphere (Cursor)
$97,073 Vol.
7%
Waymo
$52,012 Vol.
6%
Canva
$35,587 Vol.
5%
Brex
$214,372 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "IPOs before 2027?" market heavily favors AI chipmaker Cerebras at 100% implied probability, driven by its April S-1 filing and recent upsizing to a $150-$160 share price range—potentially valuing it at $49 billion in the largest 2026 IPO to date, amid surging demand for its wafer-scale AI accelerators challenging Nvidia. SpaceX follows at 94%, bolstered by reports targeting a mid-2026 listing at $1.75 trillion valuation, while Anthropic's 63% reflects robust large language model advancements and sector momentum. Buoyant conditions with 129 U.S. listings year-to-date (up 9% YoY) and favorable rates fuel optimism, though Stripe's quiet readiness signals and Databricks' AI lakehouse growth add tailwinds; watch for confidential S-1s from OpenAI (29%) or Discord (54%), as historical timeline slips and market volatility pose risks before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$6,189,146End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "IPOs before 2027?" market heavily favors AI chipmaker Cerebras at 100% implied probability, driven by its April S-1 filing and recent upsizing to a $150-$160 share price range—potentially valuing it at $49 billion in the largest 2026 IPO to date, amid surging demand for its wafer-scale AI accelerators challenging Nvidia. SpaceX follows at 94%, bolstered by reports targeting a mid-2026 listing at $1.75 trillion valuation, while Anthropic's 63% reflects robust large language model advancements and sector momentum. Buoyant conditions with 129 U.S. listings year-to-date (up 9% YoY) and favorable rates fuel optimism, though Stripe's quiet readiness signals and Databricks' AI lakehouse growth add tailwinds; watch for confidential S-1s from OpenAI (29%) or Discord (54%), as historical timeline slips and market volatility pose risks before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,189,146End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's "IPOs before 2027?" market heavily favors AI chipmaker Cerebras at 100% implied probability, driven by its April S-1 filing and recent upsizing to a $150-$160 share price range—potentially valuing it at $49 billion in the largest 2026 IPO to date, amid surging demand for its wafer-scale AI accelerators challenging Nvidia. SpaceX follows at 94%, bolstered by reports targeting a mid-2026 listing at $1.75 trillion valuation, while Anthropic's 63% reflects robust large language model advancements and sector momentum. Buoyant conditions with 129 U.S. listings year-to-date (up 9% YoY) and favorable rates fuel optimism, though Stripe's quiet readiness signals and Databricks' AI lakehouse growth add tailwinds; watch for confidential S-1s from OpenAI (29%) or Discord (54%), as historical timeline slips and market volatility pose risks before year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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