Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.5% for Xi Jinping exiting as paramount leader by June 30, driven by his unchallenged control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), Politburo, and Central Military Commission. Recent public activities, including a May 1 Shanghai symposium urging basic research advances and April diplomatic farewells to foreign leaders, affirm his vigor and centrality, while anti-corruption purges—like the April ouster of Politburo member Ma Xingrui and multiple generals—eliminate rivals and reinforce dominance rather than signal instability. Absent the 2027 Party Congress, no succession mechanism exists, creating immense structural barriers. Realistic shifts would require a sudden health crisis, elite factional revolt, or major external shock in the narrow timeframe.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日習近平国家主席は6月30日までに退任しますか？
習近平国家主席は6月30日までに退任しますか？
はい
$2,201,806 Vol.
$2,201,806 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$2,201,806 Vol.
$2,201,806 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.5% for Xi Jinping exiting as paramount leader by June 30, driven by his unchallenged control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), Politburo, and Central Military Commission. Recent public activities, including a May 1 Shanghai symposium urging basic research advances and April diplomatic farewells to foreign leaders, affirm his vigor and centrality, while anti-corruption purges—like the April ouster of Politburo member Ma Xingrui and multiple generals—eliminate rivals and reinforce dominance rather than signal instability. Absent the 2027 Party Congress, no succession mechanism exists, creating immense structural barriers. Realistic shifts would require a sudden health crisis, elite factional revolt, or major external shock in the narrow timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Dec 17, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$2,201,806終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 17, 2025, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.5% for Xi Jinping exiting as paramount leader by June 30, driven by his unchallenged control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), Politburo, and Central Military Commission. Recent public activities, including a May 1 Shanghai symposium urging basic research advances and April diplomatic farewells to foreign leaders, affirm his vigor and centrality, while anti-corruption purges—like the April ouster of Politburo member Ma Xingrui and multiple generals—eliminate rivals and reinforce dominance rather than signal instability. Absent the 2027 Party Congress, no succession mechanism exists, creating immense structural barriers. Realistic shifts would require a sudden health crisis, elite factional revolt, or major external shock in the narrow timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,201,806終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 17, 2025, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.5% for Xi Jinping exiting as paramount leader by June 30, driven by his unchallenged control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), Politburo, and Central Military Commission. Recent public activities, including a May 1 Shanghai symposium urging basic research advances and April diplomatic farewells to foreign leaders, affirm his vigor and centrality, while anti-corruption purges—like the April ouster of Politburo member Ma Xingrui and multiple generals—eliminate rivals and reinforce dominance rather than signal instability. Absent the 2027 Party Congress, no succession mechanism exists, creating immense structural barriers. Realistic shifts would require a sudden health crisis, elite factional revolt, or major external shock in the narrow timeframe.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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