Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance—marked by GOP supermajorities in the legislature, overwhelming voter registration advantages, and no Democratic governor since 1978—anchors trader consensus at 95.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Mark Gordon's term limits create an open seat, fueling a crowded GOP primary on August 18 with declared candidates including Superintendent Megan Degenfelder (recently Trump-endorsed), rancher Brent Bien, and Sen. Eric Barlow, but the party's nominee is positioned as the presumptive victor in the deeply conservative state. Recent developments like Gordon's February State of the State address and minor election law tweaks have not shifted dynamics. Challenges would require extraordinary events such as a GOP nominee scandal, withdrawal, or national Democratic surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$1,688 Vol.
96%
民主党
$1,071 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance—marked by GOP supermajorities in the legislature, overwhelming voter registration advantages, and no Democratic governor since 1978—anchors trader consensus at 95.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Mark Gordon's term limits create an open seat, fueling a crowded GOP primary on August 18 with declared candidates including Superintendent Megan Degenfelder (recently Trump-endorsed), rancher Brent Bien, and Sen. Eric Barlow, but the party's nominee is positioned as the presumptive victor in the deeply conservative state. Recent developments like Gordon's February State of the State address and minor election law tweaks have not shifted dynamics. Challenges would require extraordinary events such as a GOP nominee scandal, withdrawal, or national Democratic surge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$2,760終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance—marked by GOP supermajorities in the legislature, overwhelming voter registration advantages, and no Democratic governor since 1978—anchors trader consensus at 95.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Mark Gordon's term limits create an open seat, fueling a crowded GOP primary on August 18 with declared candidates including Superintendent Megan Degenfelder (recently Trump-endorsed), rancher Brent Bien, and Sen. Eric Barlow, but the party's nominee is positioned as the presumptive victor in the deeply conservative state. Recent developments like Gordon's February State of the State address and minor election law tweaks have not shifted dynamics. Challenges would require extraordinary events such as a GOP nominee scandal, withdrawal, or national Democratic surge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$2,760終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance—marked by GOP supermajorities in the legislature, overwhelming voter registration advantages, and no Democratic governor since 1978—anchors trader consensus at 95.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Mark Gordon's term limits create an open seat, fueling a crowded GOP primary on August 18 with declared candidates including Superintendent Megan Degenfelder (recently Trump-endorsed), rancher Brent Bien, and Sen. Eric Barlow, but the party's nominee is positioned as the presumptive victor in the deeply conservative state. Recent developments like Gordon's February State of the State address and minor election law tweaks have not shifted dynamics. Challenges would require extraordinary events such as a GOP nominee scandal, withdrawal, or national Democratic surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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