In the open-seat Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary set for August 11, recent Marquette Law School polls from mid-February and March show State Rep. Francesca Hong narrowly leading former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes among decided voters—14% to 11% in the latest survey—with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez trailing and 65% undecided due to low name recognition and voter engagement five months out. Polymarket traders price Barnes highest at 35.5% implied probability, ahead of Hong (28%) and Rodriguez (23%), reflecting his statewide profile from the 2022 Senate run, fundraising goals exceeding $50 million, and perceived general-election strength against Republicans like Tom Tiffany. High indecision in a crowded field sustains tightness; endorsements, debates, or dropouts could sharpen separation as polling firms like Patriot release more data showing Hong's momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日マンデラ・バーンズ 36%
フランチェスカ・ホン 27.9%
サラ・ロドリゲス 23%
デビッド・クロウリー 5.4%
$25,257 Vol.
$25,257 Vol.
マンデラ・バーンズ
36%
フランチェスカ・ホン
28%
サラ・ロドリゲス
23%
デビッド・クロウリー
5%
ケルダ・ロイズ
2%
クリス・ラーソン
2%
ジョエル・ブレナン
1%
トム・ネルソン
<1%
ブレット・ハルジー
<1%
ティム・ジェイコブソン
<1%
メリッサ・アガード
<1%
ザカリー・ローパー
<1%
ミッシー・ヒューズ
<1%
マンデラ・バーンズ 36%
フランチェスカ・ホン 27.9%
サラ・ロドリゲス 23%
デビッド・クロウリー 5.4%
$25,257 Vol.
$25,257 Vol.
マンデラ・バーンズ
36%
フランチェスカ・ホン
28%
サラ・ロドリゲス
23%
デビッド・クロウリー
5%
ケルダ・ロイズ
2%
クリス・ラーソン
2%
ジョエル・ブレナン
1%
トム・ネルソン
<1%
ブレット・ハルジー
<1%
ティム・ジェイコブソン
<1%
メリッサ・アガード
<1%
ザカリー・ローパー
<1%
ミッシー・ヒューズ
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open-seat Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary set for August 11, recent Marquette Law School polls from mid-February and March show State Rep. Francesca Hong narrowly leading former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes among decided voters—14% to 11% in the latest survey—with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez trailing and 65% undecided due to low name recognition and voter engagement five months out. Polymarket traders price Barnes highest at 35.5% implied probability, ahead of Hong (28%) and Rodriguez (23%), reflecting his statewide profile from the 2022 Senate run, fundraising goals exceeding $50 million, and perceived general-election strength against Republicans like Tom Tiffany. High indecision in a crowded field sustains tightness; endorsements, debates, or dropouts could sharpen separation as polling firms like Patriot release more data showing Hong's momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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