President Trump authorized joint US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran under Operation Epic Fury on February 28, 2026, without congressional approval, framing it as a major military operation aimed at regime change and Iranian capitulation rather than a formal war declaration. Now on day 29 of hostilities, Trump extended a 10-day pause on energy infrastructure strikes yesterday, demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid disputed reports of ceasefire talks and a 15-point US proposal. Lawmakers debate war powers constitutionality, with no moves toward a declaration—last used in World War II—highlighting reliance on executive authority and existing authorizations. Upcoming congressional hearings and Iranian responses could influence escalation or de-escalation trajectories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$544,383 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
2%
4月30日
27%
$544,383 Vol.
3月31日
$210,567 Vol.
2%
4月30日
$6,796 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump authorized joint US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran under Operation Epic Fury on February 28, 2026, without congressional approval, framing it as a major military operation aimed at regime change and Iranian capitulation rather than a formal war declaration. Now on day 29 of hostilities, Trump extended a 10-day pause on energy infrastructure strikes yesterday, demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid disputed reports of ceasefire talks and a 15-point US proposal. Lawmakers debate war powers constitutionality, with no moves toward a declaration—last used in World War II—highlighting reliance on executive authority and existing authorizations. Upcoming congressional hearings and Iranian responses could influence escalation or de-escalation trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
音量
$544,383終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump authorized joint US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran under Operation Epic Fury on February 28, 2026, without congressional approval, framing it as a major military operation aimed at regime change and Iranian capitulation rather than a formal war declaration. Now on day 29 of hostilities, Trump extended a 10-day pause on energy infrastructure strikes yesterday, demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid disputed reports of ceasefire talks and a 15-point US proposal. Lawmakers debate war powers constitutionality, with no moves toward a declaration—last used in World War II—highlighting reliance on executive authority and existing authorizations. Upcoming congressional hearings and Iranian responses could influence escalation or de-escalation trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$544,383終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump authorized joint US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran under Operation Epic Fury on February 28, 2026, without congressional approval, framing it as a major military operation aimed at regime change and Iranian capitulation rather than a formal war declaration. Now on day 29 of hostilities, Trump extended a 10-day pause on energy infrastructure strikes yesterday, demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid disputed reports of ceasefire talks and a 15-point US proposal. Lawmakers debate war powers constitutionality, with no moves toward a declaration—last used in World War II—highlighting reliance on executive authority and existing authorizations. Upcoming congressional hearings and Iranian responses could influence escalation or de-escalation trajectories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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