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Will Tim Walz activate the National Guard in MN by March 31?

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Will Tim Walz activate the National Guard in MN by March 31?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$73,749 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$73,749 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if National Guard troops are called to active duty under state control in any part of Minnesota by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying activation announcement or action will count, regardless of if/when deployment of the National Guard actually occurs, or if the activation/deployment is subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions.

Qualifying actions include but are not limited to:

- An official announcement from the Minnesota Government that specific state Guard units are being or will be activated, deployed, or mobilized within Minnesota under state control.
- A formal activation by Tim Walz calling National Guard troops to State Active Duty (State control and funding) in Minnesota.
- An official federal or state activation of National Guard troops to any other form of active duty in Minnesota under state control (e.g. activation under title 32 - state control with federal funding).

Non-qualifying actions include but are not limited to:

- Any federal government action that calls up, assigns, or announces the activation or deployment of National Guard forces to Minnesota under federal command and control, including under Title 10 (federalized control and funding).
- Informal announcements/social media posts which do not constitute a formal policy announcement.
- Ambiguous remarks, “we’re considering it,” broad statements like “ready to go anywhere,” or contingent plans without a clear directive to Minnesota.
- Routine training, including inactive duty or annual training, or announcements/actions of preparation or planning which do not activate or announce the activation of National Guard troops to active duty.
- Generic posture changes (e.g., standing up quick-reaction forces “nationwide”) that do not explicitly name Minnesota as an activation location.

The primary resolution sources will be official information from the state government of Minnesota and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$73,749
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if National Guard troops are called to active duty under state control in any part of Minnesota by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying activation announcement or action will count, regardless of if/when deployment of the National Guard actually occurs, or if the activation/deployment is subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. Qualifying actions include but are not limited to: - An official announcement from the Minnesota Government that specific state Guard units are being or will be activated, deployed, or mobilized within Minnesota under state control. - A formal activation by Tim Walz calling National Guard troops to State Active Duty (State control and funding) in Minnesota. - An official federal or state activation of National Guard troops to any other form of active duty in Minnesota under state control (e.g. activation under title 32 - state control with federal funding). Non-qualifying actions include but are not limited to: - Any federal government action that calls up, assigns, or announces the activation or deployment of National Guard forces to Minnesota under federal command and control, including under Title 10 (federalized control and funding). - Informal announcements/social media posts which do not constitute a formal policy announcement. - Ambiguous remarks, “we’re considering it,” broad statements like “ready to go anywhere,” or contingent plans without a clear directive to Minnesota. - Routine training, including inactive duty or annual training, or announcements/actions of preparation or planning which do not activate or announce the activation of National Guard troops to active duty. - Generic posture changes (e.g., standing up quick-reaction forces “nationwide”) that do not explicitly name Minnesota as an activation location. The primary resolution sources will be official information from the state government of Minnesota and a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if National Guard troops are called to active duty under state control in any part of Minnesota by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying activation announcement or action will count, regardless of if/when deployment of the National Guard actually occurs, or if the activation/deployment is subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions.

Qualifying actions include but are not limited to:

- An official announcement from the Minnesota Government that specific state Guard units are being or will be activated, deployed, or mobilized within Minnesota under state control.
- A formal activation by Tim Walz calling National Guard troops to State Active Duty (State control and funding) in Minnesota.
- An official federal or state activation of National Guard troops to any other form of active duty in Minnesota under state control (e.g. activation under title 32 - state control with federal funding).

Non-qualifying actions include but are not limited to:

- Any federal government action that calls up, assigns, or announces the activation or deployment of National Guard forces to Minnesota under federal command and control, including under Title 10 (federalized control and funding).
- Informal announcements/social media posts which do not constitute a formal policy announcement.
- Ambiguous remarks, “we’re considering it,” broad statements like “ready to go anywhere,” or contingent plans without a clear directive to Minnesota.
- Routine training, including inactive duty or annual training, or announcements/actions of preparation or planning which do not activate or announce the activation of National Guard troops to active duty.
- Generic posture changes (e.g., standing up quick-reaction forces “nationwide”) that do not explicitly name Minnesota as an activation location.

The primary resolution sources will be official information from the state government of Minnesota and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$73,749
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if National Guard troops are called to active duty under state control in any part of Minnesota by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying activation announcement or action will count, regardless of if/when deployment of the National Guard actually occurs, or if the activation/deployment is subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. Qualifying actions include but are not limited to: - An official announcement from the Minnesota Government that specific state Guard units are being or will be activated, deployed, or mobilized within Minnesota under state control. - A formal activation by Tim Walz calling National Guard troops to State Active Duty (State control and funding) in Minnesota. - An official federal or state activation of National Guard troops to any other form of active duty in Minnesota under state control (e.g. activation under title 32 - state control with federal funding). Non-qualifying actions include but are not limited to: - Any federal government action that calls up, assigns, or announces the activation or deployment of National Guard forces to Minnesota under federal command and control, including under Title 10 (federalized control and funding). - Informal announcements/social media posts which do not constitute a formal policy announcement. - Ambiguous remarks, “we’re considering it,” broad statements like “ready to go anywhere,” or contingent plans without a clear directive to Minnesota. - Routine training, including inactive duty or annual training, or announcements/actions of preparation or planning which do not activate or announce the activation of National Guard troops to active duty. - Generic posture changes (e.g., standing up quick-reaction forces “nationwide”) that do not explicitly name Minnesota as an activation location. The primary resolution sources will be official information from the state government of Minnesota and a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Tim Walz activate the National Guard in MN by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Tim Walz activate the National Guard in MN by March 31?" has generated $73.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Tim Walz activate the National Guard in MN by March 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Tim Walz activate the National Guard in MN by March 31?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Tim Walz activate the National Guard in MN by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.