Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 63.5% for Sam Altman securing OpenAI equity by June 30, driven by the absence of any official announcement or filing as the deadline looms just weeks away. Following his dramatic November 2023 ouster and reinstatement as CEO, Altman has publicly sought equity amid OpenAI's shift to a for-profit structure announced in May, but complex negotiations involving the nonprofit board, Microsoft’s significant stake, and cap table restructuring have yielded no progress. Recent silence from company leadership, coupled with regulatory scrutiny on AI governance, reinforces skepticism of a last-minute deal, though an earnings call or board update could shift sentiment rapidly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$0終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 63.5% for Sam Altman securing OpenAI equity by June 30, driven by the absence of any official announcement or filing as the deadline looms just weeks away. Following his dramatic November 2023 ouster and reinstatement as CEO, Altman has publicly sought equity amid OpenAI's shift to a for-profit structure announced in May, but complex negotiations involving the nonprofit board, Microsoft’s significant stake, and cap table restructuring have yielded no progress. Recent silence from company leadership, coupled with regulatory scrutiny on AI governance, reinforces skepticism of a last-minute deal, though an earnings call or board update could shift sentiment rapidly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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