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Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?

Market icon

Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?

3% chance
Polymarket

$298,673 Vol.

3% chance
Polymarket

$298,673 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Dorozhnje railway station located in Donetsk Oblast by August 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railway station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station+zoom.png Train station Location in Dorozhnje: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station.png Dorozhnje location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie.png Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/2EoGpWbL1pks3U2S9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Dorozhnje railway station located in Donetsk Oblast by August 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the railway station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station+zoom.png

Train station Location in Dorozhnje: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station.png

Dorozhnje location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie.png

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/2EoGpWbL1pks3U2S9

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
音量
$298,673
終了日
Aug 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Jul 22, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Dorozhnje railway station located in Donetsk Oblast by August 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railway station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station+zoom.png Train station Location in Dorozhnje: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station.png Dorozhnje location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie.png Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/2EoGpWbL1pks3U2S9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Dorozhnje railway station located in Donetsk Oblast by August 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railway station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station+zoom.png Train station Location in Dorozhnje: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station.png Dorozhnje location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie.png Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/2EoGpWbL1pks3U2S9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Dorozhnje railway station located in Donetsk Oblast by August 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the railway station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station+zoom.png

Train station Location in Dorozhnje: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station.png

Dorozhnje location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie.png

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/2EoGpWbL1pks3U2S9

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
音量
$298,673
終了日
Aug 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Jul 22, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Dorozhnje railway station located in Donetsk Oblast by August 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railway station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station+zoom.png Train station Location in Dorozhnje: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station.png Dorozhnje location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie.png Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/2EoGpWbL1pks3U2S9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。例えば、「はい」が0¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を0%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?」は$298.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 22, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を0%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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