Market icon
世界·イスラエル

レザ・パフラヴィーは...までにイランに入国しますか？

Market icon
世界·イスラエル

レザ・パフラヴィーは...までにイランに入国しますか？

$11,705,793 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$11,705,793 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$7,803,344 Vol.

<1%

4月30日

$254,199 Vol.

3%

5月31日

$19,610 Vol.

6%

6月30日

$2,102,175 Vol.

14%

12月31日

$527,728 Vol.

25%

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran's last shah and a leading opposition figure, stated in early March 2026 Fox News and Wall Street Journal interviews that he stands ready to enter Iran "as soon as possible," either before or immediately after the Islamic Republic's collapse, to lead a transitional government toward democratic elections. These declarations, amid speculation over Supreme Leader Khamenei's health, ongoing protests, and recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian targets, have fueled trader interest in potential regime instability. However, no verified travel plans, domestic invitation, or security guarantees exist, maintaining uncertainty; key watchpoints include escalation in U.S.-Israel-Iran tensions, defection signals from IRGC forces, or a snap leadership crisis in Tehran.

Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran's last shah and a leading opposition figure, stated in early March 2026 Fox News and Wall Street Journal interviews that he stands ready to enter Iran "as soon as possible," either before or immediately after the Islamic Republic's collapse, to lead a transitional government toward democratic elections. These declarations, amid speculation over Supreme Leader Khamenei's health, ongoing protests, and recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian targets, have fueled trader interest in potential regime instability. However, no verified travel plans, domestic invitation, or security guarantees exist, maintaining uncertainty; key watchpoints include escalation in U.S.-Israel-Iran tensions, defection signals from IRGC forces, or a snap leadership crisis in Tehran.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran's last shah and a leading opposition figure, stated in early March 2026 Fox News and Wall Street Journal interviews that he stands ready to enter Iran "as soon as possible," either before or immediately after the Islamic Republic's collapse, to lead a transitional government toward democratic elections. These declarations, amid speculation over Supreme Leader Khamenei's health, ongoing protests, and recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian targets, have fueled trader interest in potential regime instability. However, no verified travel plans, domestic invitation, or security guarantees exist, maintaining uncertainty; key watchpoints include escalation in U.S.-Israel-Iran tensions, defection signals from IRGC forces, or a snap leadership crisis in Tehran.

Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran's last shah and a leading opposition figure, stated in early March 2026 Fox News and Wall Street Journal interviews that he stands ready to enter Iran "as soon as possible," either before or immediately after the Islamic Republic's collapse, to lead a transitional government toward democratic elections. These declarations, amid speculation over Supreme Leader Khamenei's health, ongoing protests, and recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian targets, have fueled trader interest in potential regime instability. However, no verified travel plans, domestic invitation, or security guarantees exist, maintaining uncertainty; key watchpoints include escalation in U.S.-Israel-Iran tensions, defection signals from IRGC forces, or a snap leadership crisis in Tehran.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「レザ・パフラヴィーは...までにイランに入国しますか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で25%、次いで「6月30日」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、25¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に25%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「レザ・パフラヴィーは...までにイランに入国しますか？」は$11.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「レザ・パフラヴィーは...までにイランに入国しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「レザ・パフラヴィーは...までにイランに入国しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で25%であり、市場がこの結果に25%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月30日」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「レザ・パフラヴィーは...までにイランに入国しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。