Recent reports indicate Russian President Vladimir Putin may visit China in late May, shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump's confirmed bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15, driving trader consensus to a 60.5% implied probability for Yes. This follows Putin's February 4 videoconference acceptance of Xi's invitation for an official trip in the first half of 2026, with Kremlin aide Yury Ushakov noting dates under finalization amid deepening Moscow-Beijing strategic coordination on trade, energy, and global issues. No exact schedule has been announced, leaving room for delays due to diplomatic logistics or geopolitical shifts, though the timing aligns with spring plans and historical patterns of frequent high-level exchanges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports indicate Russian President Vladimir Putin may visit China in late May, shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump's confirmed bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15, driving trader consensus to a 60.5% implied probability for Yes. This follows Putin's February 4 videoconference acceptance of Xi's invitation for an official trip in the first half of 2026, with Kremlin aide Yury Ushakov noting dates under finalization amid deepening Moscow-Beijing strategic coordination on trade, energy, and global issues. No exact schedule has been announced, leaving room for delays due to diplomatic logistics or geopolitical shifts, though the timing aligns with spring plans and historical patterns of frequent high-level exchanges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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