Amid a fragile October ceasefire under which Israel maintains control of over half of Gaza, the IDF has conducted ongoing airstrikes, tank fire, and artillery shelling—including incidents killing six Palestinians on March 8 and heavy barrages east of Gaza City and Khan Younis as recently as March 25—but has not launched a major ground offensive. Earlier February reports indicated preparations for a renewed Gaza City incursion potentially in March, contingent on U.S. approval under President Trump, yet escalation with Iran and limited ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon since March 16 have diverted resources. A Trump-backed plan for staged Hamas disarmament, reported March 27, emphasizes negotiations over immediate military action, heightening uncertainty ahead of potential talks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$492,364 Vol.
Oct 31, 2025
2026年3月31日
2%
6月30日
16%
12月31日
38%
$492,364 Vol.
2026年3月31日
$320,604 Vol.
2%
6月30日
$8,067 Vol.
16%
12月31日
$12,806 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid a fragile October ceasefire under which Israel maintains control of over half of Gaza, the IDF has conducted ongoing airstrikes, tank fire, and artillery shelling—including incidents killing six Palestinians on March 8 and heavy barrages east of Gaza City and Khan Younis as recently as March 25—but has not launched a major ground offensive. Earlier February reports indicated preparations for a renewed Gaza City incursion potentially in March, contingent on U.S. approval under President Trump, yet escalation with Iran and limited ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon since March 16 have diverted resources. A Trump-backed plan for staged Hamas disarmament, reported March 27, emphasizes negotiations over immediate military action, heightening uncertainty ahead of potential talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$492,364終了日
Dec 31, 2025マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid a fragile October ceasefire under which Israel maintains control of over half of Gaza, the IDF has conducted ongoing airstrikes, tank fire, and artillery shelling—including incidents killing six Palestinians on March 8 and heavy barrages east of Gaza City and Khan Younis as recently as March 25—but has not launched a major ground offensive. Earlier February reports indicated preparations for a renewed Gaza City incursion potentially in March, contingent on U.S. approval under President Trump, yet escalation with Iran and limited ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon since March 16 have diverted resources. A Trump-backed plan for staged Hamas disarmament, reported March 27, emphasizes negotiations over immediate military action, heightening uncertainty ahead of potential talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$492,364終了日
Dec 31, 2025マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid a fragile October ceasefire under which Israel maintains control of over half of Gaza, the IDF has conducted ongoing airstrikes, tank fire, and artillery shelling—including incidents killing six Palestinians on March 8 and heavy barrages east of Gaza City and Khan Younis as recently as March 25—but has not launched a major ground offensive. Earlier February reports indicated preparations for a renewed Gaza City incursion potentially in March, contingent on U.S. approval under President Trump, yet escalation with Iran and limited ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon since March 16 have diverted resources. A Trump-backed plan for staged Hamas disarmament, reported March 27, emphasizes negotiations over immediate military action, heightening uncertainty ahead of potential talks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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