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政治·中東

イスラエルは12月31日までに領土を併合しますか？

Market icon
政治·中東

イスラエルは12月31日までに領土を併合しますか？

$382,546 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$382,546 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$132,293 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's right-wing coalition government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, includes Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir who continue advocating for formal annexation of West Bank territories referred to as Judea and Samaria, with recent settlement outpost legalizations in October 2024 advancing de facto control. Following Donald Trump's U.S. presidential election victory on November 5, Smotrich reiterated demands for sovereignty application, viewing it as a potential diplomatic opening amid shifting U.S. foreign policy. However, no Knesset legislation has been tabled, as Netanyahu prioritizes ongoing Gaza military operations, hostage negotiations, and ceasefire talks with Hamas. International opposition from the EU, UN, and Biden administration, plus procedural requirements for annexation laws, pose major barriers before December 31, with traders monitoring winter Knesset sessions and post-inauguration U.S. signals.

Israel's right-wing coalition government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, includes Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir who continue advocating for formal annexation of West Bank territories referred to as Judea and Samaria, with recent settlement outpost legalizations in October 2024 advancing de facto control. Following Donald Trump's U.S. presidential election victory on November 5, Smotrich reiterated demands for sovereignty application, viewing it as a potential diplomatic opening amid shifting U.S. foreign policy. However, no Knesset legislation has been tabled, as Netanyahu prioritizes ongoing Gaza military operations, hostage negotiations, and ceasefire talks with Hamas. International opposition from the EU, UN, and Biden administration, plus procedural requirements for annexation laws, pose major barriers before December 31, with traders monitoring winter Knesset sessions and post-inauguration U.S. signals.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's right-wing coalition government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, includes Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir who continue advocating for formal annexation of West Bank territories referred to as Judea and Samaria, with recent settlement outpost legalizations in October 2024 advancing de facto control. Following Donald Trump's U.S. presidential election victory on November 5, Smotrich reiterated demands for sovereignty application, viewing it as a potential diplomatic opening amid shifting U.S. foreign policy. However, no Knesset legislation has been tabled, as Netanyahu prioritizes ongoing Gaza military operations, hostage negotiations, and ceasefire talks with Hamas. International opposition from the EU, UN, and Biden administration, plus procedural requirements for annexation laws, pose major barriers before December 31, with traders monitoring winter Knesset sessions and post-inauguration U.S. signals.

Israel's right-wing coalition government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, includes Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir who continue advocating for formal annexation of West Bank territories referred to as Judea and Samaria, with recent settlement outpost legalizations in October 2024 advancing de facto control. Following Donald Trump's U.S. presidential election victory on November 5, Smotrich reiterated demands for sovereignty application, viewing it as a potential diplomatic opening amid shifting U.S. foreign policy. However, no Knesset legislation has been tabled, as Netanyahu prioritizes ongoing Gaza military operations, hostage negotiations, and ceasefire talks with Hamas. International opposition from the EU, UN, and Biden administration, plus procedural requirements for annexation laws, pose major barriers before December 31, with traders monitoring winter Knesset sessions and post-inauguration U.S. signals.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「イスラエルは12月31日までに領土を併合しますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年6月30日」で17%、次いで「イスラエルは12月31日までにいかなる領土を併合しますか？」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、17¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に17%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イスラエルは12月31日までに領土を併合しますか？」は$382.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 23, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イスラエルは12月31日までに領土を併合しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イスラエルは12月31日までに領土を併合しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年6月30日」で17%であり、市場がこの結果に17%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「イスラエルは12月31日までにいかなる領土を併合しますか？」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イスラエルは12月31日までに領土を併合しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。