Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran since late February, have driven U.S. national average regular gasoline prices above $4 per gallon, reaching $4.018 according to AAA data as of March 31—the highest since 2022 and a roughly 30% surge from early March's $3.10 levels. This reflects West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbing toward $100 per barrel, expanded RBOB gasoline refining margins, and seasonal spring demand growth amid supply disruption fears. Polymarket's trader consensus, evidenced by $633,000 in volume across price threshold outcomes, embeds these dynamics into market-implied odds favoring breaches of $4 and lower brackets. Key upcoming catalysts include the April 7 EIA weekly petroleum status report and potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve actions to temper volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$642,123 Vol.
2026/03/31
↑ 5.00ドル
<1%
↑ $4.50
<1%
↑ $4.25
<1%
↓ $3.15
1%
↓ $3.10
<1%
↓ $3.05
<1%
↓ $3.00
<1%
$642,123 Vol.
↑ 5.00ドル
$96,399 Vol.
<1%
↑ $4.50
$118,763 Vol.
<1%
↑ $4.25
$65,734 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.15
$36,791 Vol.
1%
↓ $3.10
$43,650 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.05
$176,429 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.00
$30,524 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran since late February, have driven U.S. national average regular gasoline prices above $4 per gallon, reaching $4.018 according to AAA data as of March 31—the highest since 2022 and a roughly 30% surge from early March's $3.10 levels. This reflects West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbing toward $100 per barrel, expanded RBOB gasoline refining margins, and seasonal spring demand growth amid supply disruption fears. Polymarket's trader consensus, evidenced by $633,000 in volume across price threshold outcomes, embeds these dynamics into market-implied odds favoring breaches of $4 and lower brackets. Key upcoming catalysts include the April 7 EIA weekly petroleum status report and potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve actions to temper volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
マーケット開始日： Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
音量
$642,123終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran since late February, have driven U.S. national average regular gasoline prices above $4 per gallon, reaching $4.018 according to AAA data as of March 31—the highest since 2022 and a roughly 30% surge from early March's $3.10 levels. This reflects West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbing toward $100 per barrel, expanded RBOB gasoline refining margins, and seasonal spring demand growth amid supply disruption fears. Polymarket's trader consensus, evidenced by $633,000 in volume across price threshold outcomes, embeds these dynamics into market-implied odds favoring breaches of $4 and lower brackets. Key upcoming catalysts include the April 7 EIA weekly petroleum status report and potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve actions to temper volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
音量
$642,123終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran since late February, have driven U.S. national average regular gasoline prices above $4 per gallon, reaching $4.018 according to AAA data as of March 31—the highest since 2022 and a roughly 30% surge from early March's $3.10 levels. This reflects West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbing toward $100 per barrel, expanded RBOB gasoline refining margins, and seasonal spring demand growth amid supply disruption fears. Polymarket's trader consensus, evidenced by $633,000 in volume across price threshold outcomes, embeds these dynamics into market-implied odds favoring breaches of $4 and lower brackets. Key upcoming catalysts include the April 7 EIA weekly petroleum status report and potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve actions to temper volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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