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Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?

Market icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?

None in 2025 100.0%

Mike Waltz <1%

Stephen Miran <1%

J.D. Vance <1%

Polymarket

$1,044,482 Vol.

None in 2025 100.0%

Mike Waltz <1%

Stephen Miran <1%

J.D. Vance <1%

Polymarket

$1,044,482 Vol.

Mike Waltz

$17,386 Vol.

No

Stephen Miran

$77,707 Vol.

No

J.D. Vance

$321,435 Vol.

No

Marco Rubio

$27,525 Vol.

No

Scott Bessent

$22,643 Vol.

No

Pete Hegseth

$62,130 Vol.

No

Pam Bondi

$36,491 Vol.

No

Doug Burgum

$11,443 Vol.

No

Brooke Rollins

$24,799 Vol.

No

Howard Lutnick

$20,272 Vol.

No

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$14,398 Vol.

No

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$31,592 Vol.

No

Scott Turner

$14,683 Vol.

No

Sean Duffy

$14,721 Vol.

No

Chris Wright

$15,796 Vol.

No

Linda McMahon

$12,004 Vol.

No

Doug Collins

$18,828 Vol.

No

Kristi Noem

$57,119 Vol.

No

None in 2025

$84,447 Vol.

Yes

Lee Zeldin

$16,255 Vol.

No

Susie Wiles

$46,307 Vol.

No

Tulsi Gabbard

$33,844 Vol.

No

Russell T. Vought

$14,208 Vol.

No

John Ratcliffe

$12,765 Vol.

No

Jamieson Greer

$14,534 Vol.

No

Kelly Loeffler

$21,149 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the next individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.

An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.

If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position (e.g. Mike Waltz) will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
音量
$1,044,482
終了日
Dec 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position (e.g. Mike Waltz) will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?」はPolymarket上の26個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「None in 2025」で100%、次いで「Mike Waltz」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?」は$1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 21, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている26個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?」の現在のフロントランナーは「None in 2025」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Mike Waltz」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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