Micah Lasher leads Polymarket odds at 49% implied probability for the NY-12 Democratic primary on June 25, driven by his top showing in the June Emerson College poll (27% support), strong fundraising over $1.5 million, and endorsements from former Gov. Andrew Cuomo. Jack Schlossberg follows at 24.5%, boosted by viral social media buzz and Kennedy family name recognition despite entering late and trailing in polls at 18%. Alex Bores holds 19.5% on robust self-funding nearing $1 million and progressive appeal, challenging the establishment frontrunner. Recent polling stability and a crowded field of 20+ candidates underscore trader focus on these three amid undecided voters at 20%.