As of March 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 holdouts—mostly Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members like Syria, Tunisia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan—amid stalled normalization post-Abraham Accords. Trader consensus reflects low expectations for breakthroughs by June 30, driven by no new recognitions in the past 30 days and recent joint condemnations of Israel's West Bank policies by nearly 20 nations, including Turkiye, Qatar, and Brazil, in February. US President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to formally recognize Israel via Abraham Accords expansion offers potential momentum, but regional tensions over Gaza and Iran counter it, with no scheduled summits or votes imminent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$87,689 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
北朝鮮
4%
キューバ
6%
サウジアラビア
10%
レバノン
6%
アフガニスタン
6%
イラク
5%
パキスタン
7%
シリア
9%
ベネズエラ
9%
チュニジア
11%
クウェート
10%
カタール
8%
インドネシア
7%
マレーシア
4%
バングラデシュ
10%
$87,689 Vol.
北朝鮮
$0 Vol.
4%
キューバ
$0 Vol.
6%
サウジアラビア
$3,350 Vol.
10%
レバノン
$0 Vol.
6%
アフガニスタン
$0 Vol.
6%
イラク
$0 Vol.
5%
パキスタン
$0 Vol.
7%
シリア
$4,318 Vol.
9%
ベネズエラ
$80,022 Vol.
9%
チュニジア
$0 Vol.
11%
クウェート
$0 Vol.
10%
カタール
$0 Vol.
8%
インドネシア
$0 Vol.
7%
マレーシア
$0 Vol.
4%
バングラデシュ
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of March 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 holdouts—mostly Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members like Syria, Tunisia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan—amid stalled normalization post-Abraham Accords. Trader consensus reflects low expectations for breakthroughs by June 30, driven by no new recognitions in the past 30 days and recent joint condemnations of Israel's West Bank policies by nearly 20 nations, including Turkiye, Qatar, and Brazil, in February. US President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to formally recognize Israel via Abraham Accords expansion offers potential momentum, but regional tensions over Gaza and Iran counter it, with no scheduled summits or votes imminent.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
音量
$87,689終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of March 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 holdouts—mostly Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members like Syria, Tunisia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan—amid stalled normalization post-Abraham Accords. Trader consensus reflects low expectations for breakthroughs by June 30, driven by no new recognitions in the past 30 days and recent joint condemnations of Israel's West Bank policies by nearly 20 nations, including Turkiye, Qatar, and Brazil, in February. US President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to formally recognize Israel via Abraham Accords expansion offers potential momentum, but regional tensions over Gaza and Iran counter it, with no scheduled summits or votes imminent.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$87,689終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of March 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 holdouts—mostly Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members like Syria, Tunisia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan—amid stalled normalization post-Abraham Accords. Trader consensus reflects low expectations for breakthroughs by June 30, driven by no new recognitions in the past 30 days and recent joint condemnations of Israel's West Bank policies by nearly 20 nations, including Turkiye, Qatar, and Brazil, in February. US President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to formally recognize Israel via Abraham Accords expansion offers potential momentum, but regional tensions over Gaza and Iran counter it, with no scheduled summits or votes imminent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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