The Trump administration's ongoing industrial policy has driven trader sentiment, with equity stakes already secured in Intel, U.S. Steel, MP Materials, Lithium Americas, and USA Rare Earth to bolster domestic semiconductors, steel, and critical minerals production against Chinese dominance. No new federal equity investments announced in the past 30 days following the February portfolio expansion, leaving odds elevated for defense contractors like Lockheed Martin, Palantir, and Boeing—reflecting national security priorities—and chipmakers such as TSMC amid trade tensions. Upcoming budget proposals, NDAA provisions, and potential executive actions on AI and foreign tech could catalyze shifts before the December 31, 2026, resolution deadline based on official announcements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$56,075 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Anduril
24%
ボーイング
38%
TSMC
18%
OpenAI
25%
パランティア
36%
エヌビディア
15%
グローバルファウンドリーズ
19%
ロッキード・マーチン
38%
TikTok US / Bytedance
24%
フリーポート・マクモラン
27%
IonQ
31%
マイクロン
13%
D-Wave
31%
Anthropic
16%
Rigetti
14%
イーライリリー
27%
ファイザー
31%
サムスン電子
18%
$56,075 Vol.
Anduril
$38,881 Vol.
24%
ボーイング
$0 Vol.
38%
TSMC
$0 Vol.
18%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
25%
パランティア
$0 Vol.
36%
エヌビディア
$8,590 Vol.
15%
グローバルファウンドリーズ
$586 Vol.
19%
ロッキード・マーチン
$0 Vol.
38%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$278 Vol.
24%
フリーポート・マクモラン
$0 Vol.
27%
IonQ
$0 Vol.
31%
マイクロン
$0 Vol.
13%
D-Wave
$0 Vol.
31%
Anthropic
$558 Vol.
16%
Rigetti
$0 Vol.
14%
イーライリリー
$0 Vol.
27%
ファイザー
$0 Vol.
31%
サムスン電子
$7,182 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's ongoing industrial policy has driven trader sentiment, with equity stakes already secured in Intel, U.S. Steel, MP Materials, Lithium Americas, and USA Rare Earth to bolster domestic semiconductors, steel, and critical minerals production against Chinese dominance. No new federal equity investments announced in the past 30 days following the February portfolio expansion, leaving odds elevated for defense contractors like Lockheed Martin, Palantir, and Boeing—reflecting national security priorities—and chipmakers such as TSMC amid trade tensions. Upcoming budget proposals, NDAA provisions, and potential executive actions on AI and foreign tech could catalyze shifts before the December 31, 2026, resolution deadline based on official announcements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
音量
$56,075終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's ongoing industrial policy has driven trader sentiment, with equity stakes already secured in Intel, U.S. Steel, MP Materials, Lithium Americas, and USA Rare Earth to bolster domestic semiconductors, steel, and critical minerals production against Chinese dominance. No new federal equity investments announced in the past 30 days following the February portfolio expansion, leaving odds elevated for defense contractors like Lockheed Martin, Palantir, and Boeing—reflecting national security priorities—and chipmakers such as TSMC amid trade tensions. Upcoming budget proposals, NDAA provisions, and potential executive actions on AI and foreign tech could catalyze shifts before the December 31, 2026, resolution deadline based on official announcements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$56,075終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's ongoing industrial policy has driven trader sentiment, with equity stakes already secured in Intel, U.S. Steel, MP Materials, Lithium Americas, and USA Rare Earth to bolster domestic semiconductors, steel, and critical minerals production against Chinese dominance. No new federal equity investments announced in the past 30 days following the February portfolio expansion, leaving odds elevated for defense contractors like Lockheed Martin, Palantir, and Boeing—reflecting national security priorities—and chipmakers such as TSMC amid trade tensions. Upcoming budget proposals, NDAA provisions, and potential executive actions on AI and foreign tech could catalyze shifts before the December 31, 2026, resolution deadline based on official announcements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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