Trader consensus favors "Chuck Norris" at 25% implied probability as the leading phrase in Donald Trump's public remarks or Truth Social posts from March 29 to April 5, reflecting his occasional pop culture references amid lighter weekend schedules like March 29 golf at Palm Beach. Recent Iran tensions drove bets on "Khamenei" to 4%, following Truth Social warnings on the Strait of Hormuz, claims of "productive conversations," and Air Force One comments March 29 signaling a potential deal after U.S. military operations described as "going GREAT" in Miami remarks. March 27 White House speech to farmers elevated "Ethanol" odds via E15 fuel and loan announcements, while "No Kings" protests nationwide March 28 against immigration crackdown and Iran policy prompted criticism of Democrats as "terrorists." Low weekend visibility tempers broader activity expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$504,584 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
<1%
Kaitlan Collins
1%
Eat our Lunch
<1%
Ethanol
1%
Embargo
<1%
Finish the Job
3%
Chuck Norris
1%
$504,584 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$21,865 Vol.
<1%
Kaitlan Collins
$7,097 Vol.
1%
Eat our Lunch
$4,969 Vol.
<1%
Ethanol
$13,052 Vol.
1%
Embargo
$9,761 Vol.
<1%
Finish the Job
$6,818 Vol.
3%
Chuck Norris
$14,066 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus favors "Chuck Norris" at 25% implied probability as the leading phrase in Donald Trump's public remarks or Truth Social posts from March 29 to April 5, reflecting his occasional pop culture references amid lighter weekend schedules like March 29 golf at Palm Beach. Recent Iran tensions drove bets on "Khamenei" to 4%, following Truth Social warnings on the Strait of Hormuz, claims of "productive conversations," and Air Force One comments March 29 signaling a potential deal after U.S. military operations described as "going GREAT" in Miami remarks. March 27 White House speech to farmers elevated "Ethanol" odds via E15 fuel and loan announcements, while "No Kings" protests nationwide March 28 against immigration crackdown and Iran policy prompted criticism of Democrats as "terrorists." Low weekend visibility tempers broader activity expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
音量
$504,584終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus favors "Chuck Norris" at 25% implied probability as the leading phrase in Donald Trump's public remarks or Truth Social posts from March 29 to April 5, reflecting his occasional pop culture references amid lighter weekend schedules like March 29 golf at Palm Beach. Recent Iran tensions drove bets on "Khamenei" to 4%, following Truth Social warnings on the Strait of Hormuz, claims of "productive conversations," and Air Force One comments March 29 signaling a potential deal after U.S. military operations described as "going GREAT" in Miami remarks. March 27 White House speech to farmers elevated "Ethanol" odds via E15 fuel and loan announcements, while "No Kings" protests nationwide March 28 against immigration crackdown and Iran policy prompted criticism of Democrats as "terrorists." Low weekend visibility tempers broader activity expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$504,584終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus favors "Chuck Norris" at 25% implied probability as the leading phrase in Donald Trump's public remarks or Truth Social posts from March 29 to April 5, reflecting his occasional pop culture references amid lighter weekend schedules like March 29 golf at Palm Beach. Recent Iran tensions drove bets on "Khamenei" to 4%, following Truth Social warnings on the Strait of Hormuz, claims of "productive conversations," and Air Force One comments March 29 signaling a potential deal after U.S. military operations described as "going GREAT" in Miami remarks. March 27 White House speech to farmers elevated "Ethanol" odds via E15 fuel and loan announcements, while "No Kings" protests nationwide March 28 against immigration crackdown and Iran policy prompted criticism of Democrats as "terrorists." Low weekend visibility tempers broader activity expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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