Trump's prolific Truth Social posting, averaging multiple daily updates amid his dominant primary performance, anchors trader consensus for content during March 16-22, with high implied probabilities on attacks against Biden, election integrity claims, and legal defenses. Recent catalysts include his Super Tuesday sweep securing delegates and Nikki Haley's withdrawal, prompting celebratory and forward-looking messages, while Florida's March 19 primary looms as a likely trigger for voter mobilization posts. Ongoing hush money case developments in New York add fuel for grievance-themed content, though traders note his pattern of rapid response to news cycles, keeping "no posts" odds low despite any brief lulls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$61,561 Vol.
RINO
100%
Ass
10%
Lawsuit
31%
Illinois
19%
Epic Fury
35%
Oscar / Oscars
19%
Hillary / Clinton
32%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
20%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
34%
Filibuster
55%
Stupid
36%
Death to America
31%
Claude / Anthropic
12%
Hamas / Hezbollah
38%
Too Big to Rig
30%
Democrat Shutdown
16%
Mamdani
17%
Texas
35%
Son
20%
Cornyn
12%
Jake Paul
16%
$61,561 Vol.
RINO
100%
Ass
10%
Lawsuit
31%
Illinois
19%
Epic Fury
35%
Oscar / Oscars
19%
Hillary / Clinton
32%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
20%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
34%
Filibuster
55%
Stupid
36%
Death to America
31%
Claude / Anthropic
12%
Hamas / Hezbollah
38%
Too Big to Rig
30%
Democrat Shutdown
16%
Mamdani
17%
Texas
35%
Son
20%
Cornyn
12%
Jake Paul
16%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Note: "Mutilization" must be written verbatim in order to qualify, any additional riffs on spelling or grammatical variations will not be considered, nor will the proper word "Mutilation". Differences in capitalization will qualify.
マーケット開始日: Mar 13, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prolific Truth Social posting, averaging multiple daily updates amid his dominant primary performance, anchors trader consensus for content during March 16-22, with high implied probabilities on attacks against Biden, election integrity claims, and legal defenses. Recent catalysts include his Super Tuesday sweep securing delegates and Nikki Haley's withdrawal, prompting celebratory and forward-looking messages, while Florida's March 19 primary looms as a likely trigger for voter mobilization posts. Ongoing hush money case developments in New York add fuel for grievance-themed content, though traders note his pattern of rapid response to news cycles, keeping "no posts" odds low despite any brief lulls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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