U.S. and Israeli forces launched massive joint airstrikes on Iran starting February 28, 2026, with nearly 900 strikes in the initial wave targeting nuclear facilities like Fordow and Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, ballistic missile sites, air defenses, and military infrastructure, prompting trader consensus on nuclear targets as the dominant outcome by the March 31 deadline. This escalation followed Iranian ballistic missile and drone barrages on Israeli population centers and U.S. positions, amid heightened tensions over proxies and nuclear advancements. Ongoing strikes into early April, including recent hits on bridges near Tehran and civilian-adjacent sites, reflect sustained de-escalation challenges, though the market resolves based on verified actions through March 31, per Polymarket criteria. No major diplomatic breakthroughs reported, with Iran vowing retaliation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$660,278 Vol.
イスファハーン核施設
98%
$660,278 Vol.
イスファハーン核施設
$378,943 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by US Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the US, Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against an Iranian oil or gas facility, inclusive of all Iranian oil rigs, or refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on Iranian soil or within Iranian maritime territory, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S., Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility, in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
U.S. and Israeli forces launched massive joint airstrikes on Iran starting February 28, 2026, with nearly 900 strikes in the initial wave targeting nuclear facilities like Fordow and Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, ballistic missile sites, air defenses, and military infrastructure, prompting trader consensus on nuclear targets as the dominant outcome by the March 31 deadline. This escalation followed Iranian ballistic missile and drone barrages on Israeli population centers and U.S. positions, amid heightened tensions over proxies and nuclear advancements. Ongoing strikes into early April, including recent hits on bridges near Tehran and civilian-adjacent sites, reflect sustained de-escalation challenges, though the market resolves based on verified actions through March 31, per Polymarket criteria. No major diplomatic breakthroughs reported, with Iran vowing retaliation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 28, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
音量
$660,278マーケット開始日
Feb 28, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
最終審査
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by US Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the US, Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against an Iranian oil or gas facility, inclusive of all Iranian oil rigs, or refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on Iranian soil or within Iranian maritime territory, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S., Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility, in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
U.S. and Israeli forces launched massive joint airstrikes on Iran starting February 28, 2026, with nearly 900 strikes in the initial wave targeting nuclear facilities like Fordow and Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, ballistic missile sites, air defenses, and military infrastructure, prompting trader consensus on nuclear targets as the dominant outcome by the March 31 deadline. This escalation followed Iranian ballistic missile and drone barrages on Israeli population centers and U.S. positions, amid heightened tensions over proxies and nuclear advancements. Ongoing strikes into early April, including recent hits on bridges near Tehran and civilian-adjacent sites, reflect sustained de-escalation challenges, though the market resolves based on verified actions through March 31, per Polymarket criteria. No major diplomatic breakthroughs reported, with Iran vowing retaliation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$660,278マーケット開始日
Feb 28, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
最終審査
U.S. and Israeli forces launched massive joint airstrikes on Iran starting February 28, 2026, with nearly 900 strikes in the initial wave targeting nuclear facilities like Fordow and Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, ballistic missile sites, air defenses, and military infrastructure, prompting trader consensus on nuclear targets as the dominant outcome by the March 31 deadline. This escalation followed Iranian ballistic missile and drone barrages on Israeli population centers and U.S. positions, amid heightened tensions over proxies and nuclear advancements. Ongoing strikes into early April, including recent hits on bridges near Tehran and civilian-adjacent sites, reflect sustained de-escalation challenges, though the market resolves based on verified actions through March 31, per Polymarket criteria. No major diplomatic breakthroughs reported, with Iran vowing retaliation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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