Polymarket traders price a tight contest between $1.50-1.75 trillion (32%) and $1.75-2.00 trillion (31%) for SpaceX's IPO valuation, reflecting consensus on a blockbuster debut near $1.75 trillion following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a record $40-80 billion raise. This surge from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer stems from the xAI merger—valuing SpaceX at $1 trillion—and Starlink's subscriber growth alongside dominant Falcon/Starship launch cadence, cementing its unchallenged moat in reusable rocketry and satellite broadband. Uncertainty hinges on public market digestion of the mega-cap premium akin to Tesla's, with macro risk appetite and roadshow reception as key swing factors ahead of potential mid-2026 pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1.50～1.75兆 32%
1.75～2.00兆 31%
2.00〜2.25兆 14%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 9%
$91,195 Vol.
$91,195 Vol.
1.25兆未満
5%
1.25〜1.50兆
8%
1.50～1.75兆
32%
1.75～2.00兆
31%
2.00〜2.25兆
14%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
9%
2.50兆ドル以上
6%
1.50～1.75兆 32%
1.75～2.00兆 31%
2.00〜2.25兆 14%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 9%
$91,195 Vol.
$91,195 Vol.
1.25兆未満
$54,085 Vol.
5%
1.25〜1.50兆
$9,464 Vol.
8%
1.50～1.75兆
$5,204 Vol.
32%
1.75～2.00兆
$4,636 Vol.
31%
2.00〜2.25兆
$3,784 Vol.
14%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
$6,936 Vol.
9%
2.50兆ドル以上
$7,086 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders price a tight contest between $1.50-1.75 trillion (32%) and $1.75-2.00 trillion (31%) for SpaceX's IPO valuation, reflecting consensus on a blockbuster debut near $1.75 trillion following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a record $40-80 billion raise. This surge from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer stems from the xAI merger—valuing SpaceX at $1 trillion—and Starlink's subscriber growth alongside dominant Falcon/Starship launch cadence, cementing its unchallenged moat in reusable rocketry and satellite broadband. Uncertainty hinges on public market digestion of the mega-cap premium akin to Tesla's, with macro risk appetite and roadshow reception as key swing factors ahead of potential mid-2026 pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$91,195マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders price a tight contest between $1.50-1.75 trillion (32%) and $1.75-2.00 trillion (31%) for SpaceX's IPO valuation, reflecting consensus on a blockbuster debut near $1.75 trillion following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a record $40-80 billion raise. This surge from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer stems from the xAI merger—valuing SpaceX at $1 trillion—and Starlink's subscriber growth alongside dominant Falcon/Starship launch cadence, cementing its unchallenged moat in reusable rocketry and satellite broadband. Uncertainty hinges on public market digestion of the mega-cap premium akin to Tesla's, with macro risk appetite and roadshow reception as key swing factors ahead of potential mid-2026 pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$91,195マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a tight contest between $1.50-1.75 trillion (32%) and $1.75-2.00 trillion (31%) for SpaceX's IPO valuation, reflecting consensus on a blockbuster debut near $1.75 trillion following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a record $40-80 billion raise. This surge from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer stems from the xAI merger—valuing SpaceX at $1 trillion—and Starlink's subscriber growth alongside dominant Falcon/Starship launch cadence, cementing its unchallenged moat in reusable rocketry and satellite broadband. Uncertainty hinges on public market digestion of the mega-cap premium akin to Tesla's, with macro risk appetite and roadshow reception as key swing factors ahead of potential mid-2026 pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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