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U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

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U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

<25% 100.0%

25–40% <1%

40–60% <1%

60–100% <1%

Polymarket

$1,819,938 Vol.

<25% 100.0%

25–40% <1%

40–60% <1%

60–100% <1%

Polymarket

$1,819,938 Vol.

<25%

$511,217 Vol.

Yes

25–40%

$518,977 Vol.

No

40–60%

$361,845 Vol.

No

60–100%

$179,186 Vol.

No

100–150%

$127,949 Vol.

No

>150%

$120,764 Vol.

No

On August 11, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day extension of the mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement. This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on November 12, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

On August 11, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day extension of the mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement.

This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on November 12, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.

The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).

Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
音量
$1,819,938
終了日
2025/11/12
マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
On August 11, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day extension of the mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement. This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on November 12, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

On August 11, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day extension of the mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement. This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on November 12, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

On August 11, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day extension of the mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement.

This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on November 12, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.

The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).

Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
音量
$1,819,938
終了日
2025/11/12
マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
On August 11, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day extension of the mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement. This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on November 12, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「<25%」で100%、次いで「25–40%」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?」は$1.8 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 15, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?」の現在のフロントランナーは「<25%」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「25–40%」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。