President Donald Trump's March 27 statement declaring "Cuba is next" after touting U.S. military successes in Venezuela and Iran has sharply escalated tensions, amid an ongoing U.S. oil blockade crippling Cuba's energy grid and sparking widespread blackouts and protests since mid-March. Cuban officials, including Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío, affirmed military preparedness for potential aggression on March 22, while confirming negotiations with Washington and a prisoner release as a goodwill gesture. A Russian oil tanker carrying 730,000 barrels nears Cuban waters despite the blockade—Trump expressed no objection—potentially averting further crisis or provoking escalation. No U.S. strike has occurred, with top generals denying invasion preparations earlier this month; traders weigh diplomatic signals against rhetorical brinkmanship ahead of any policy deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$2,815,314 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3月31日
1%
12月31日
40%
$2,815,314 Vol.
3月31日
$1,496,561 Vol.
1%
12月31日
$784,276 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.President Donald Trump's March 27 statement declaring "Cuba is next" after touting U.S. military successes in Venezuela and Iran has sharply escalated tensions, amid an ongoing U.S. oil blockade crippling Cuba's energy grid and sparking widespread blackouts and protests since mid-March. Cuban officials, including Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío, affirmed military preparedness for potential aggression on March 22, while confirming negotiations with Washington and a prisoner release as a goodwill gesture. A Russian oil tanker carrying 730,000 barrels nears Cuban waters despite the blockade—Trump expressed no objection—potentially averting further crisis or provoking escalation. No U.S. strike has occurred, with top generals denying invasion preparations earlier this month; traders weigh diplomatic signals against rhetorical brinkmanship ahead of any policy deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
音量
$2,815,314終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.President Donald Trump's March 27 statement declaring "Cuba is next" after touting U.S. military successes in Venezuela and Iran has sharply escalated tensions, amid an ongoing U.S. oil blockade crippling Cuba's energy grid and sparking widespread blackouts and protests since mid-March. Cuban officials, including Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío, affirmed military preparedness for potential aggression on March 22, while confirming negotiations with Washington and a prisoner release as a goodwill gesture. A Russian oil tanker carrying 730,000 barrels nears Cuban waters despite the blockade—Trump expressed no objection—potentially averting further crisis or provoking escalation. No U.S. strike has occurred, with top generals denying invasion preparations earlier this month; traders weigh diplomatic signals against rhetorical brinkmanship ahead of any policy deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$2,815,314終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's March 27 statement declaring "Cuba is next" after touting U.S. military successes in Venezuela and Iran has sharply escalated tensions, amid an ongoing U.S. oil blockade crippling Cuba's energy grid and sparking widespread blackouts and protests since mid-March. Cuban officials, including Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío, affirmed military preparedness for potential aggression on March 22, while confirming negotiations with Washington and a prisoner release as a goodwill gesture. A Russian oil tanker carrying 730,000 barrels nears Cuban waters despite the blockade—Trump expressed no objection—potentially averting further crisis or provoking escalation. No U.S. strike has occurred, with top generals denying invasion preparations earlier this month; traders weigh diplomatic signals against rhetorical brinkmanship ahead of any policy deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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