A federal judge's March 31 preliminary injunction halted President Trump's $400 million White House ballroom construction in the East Wing, ruling it requires explicit congressional authorization as the president serves as steward, not owner, of the property—a decision stemming from a lawsuit by the National Trust for Historic Preservation. The Justice Department swiftly appealed to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, with enforcement paused for 14 days until mid-April, while the National Capital Planning Commission approved designs on April 2 without resolving the court block. Traders' 93% "No" consensus reflects steep procedural barriers, reluctance for swift legislative action amid partisan divides, and tight timelines before the April 30 resolution, where any ongoing federal court order blocking work triggers "No."
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge's March 31 preliminary injunction halted President Trump's $400 million White House ballroom construction in the East Wing, ruling it requires explicit congressional authorization as the president serves as steward, not owner, of the property—a decision stemming from a lawsuit by the National Trust for Historic Preservation. The Justice Department swiftly appealed to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, with enforcement paused for 14 days until mid-April, while the National Capital Planning Commission approved designs on April 2 without resolving the court block. Traders' 93% "No" consensus reflects steep procedural barriers, reluctance for swift legislative action amid partisan divides, and tight timelines before the April 30 resolution, where any ongoing federal court order blocking work triggers "No."
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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