Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win Tennessee's 9th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic stronghold (D+29 Cook PVI) in urban Memphis with its majority African American electorate and Cohen's track record of landslides over 70% in multiple cycles. The August primaries concluded without disruption, as Cohen cruised through the Democratic contest while Republican Leo Coleman III, a perennial challenger with weak fundraising and no polling traction, advanced unremarkably. With the November 5 general election approaching, markets price in minimal upset risk barring a late scandal, health issue for Cohen, or extraordinary GOP turnout surge in this safe blue seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
94%
共和党
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win Tennessee's 9th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic stronghold (D+29 Cook PVI) in urban Memphis with its majority African American electorate and Cohen's track record of landslides over 70% in multiple cycles. The August primaries concluded without disruption, as Cohen cruised through the Democratic contest while Republican Leo Coleman III, a perennial challenger with weak fundraising and no polling traction, advanced unremarkably. With the November 5 general election approaching, markets price in minimal upset risk barring a late scandal, health issue for Cohen, or extraordinary GOP turnout surge in this safe blue seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win Tennessee's 9th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic stronghold (D+29 Cook PVI) in urban Memphis with its majority African American electorate and Cohen's track record of landslides over 70% in multiple cycles. The August primaries concluded without disruption, as Cohen cruised through the Democratic contest while Republican Leo Coleman III, a perennial challenger with weak fundraising and no polling traction, advanced unremarkably. With the November 5 general election approaching, markets price in minimal upset risk barring a late scandal, health issue for Cohen, or extraordinary GOP turnout surge in this safe blue seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win Tennessee's 9th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic stronghold (D+29 Cook PVI) in urban Memphis with its majority African American electorate and Cohen's track record of landslides over 70% in multiple cycles. The August primaries concluded without disruption, as Cohen cruised through the Democratic contest while Republican Leo Coleman III, a perennial challenger with weak fundraising and no polling traction, advanced unremarkably. With the November 5 general election approaching, markets price in minimal upset risk barring a late scandal, health issue for Cohen, or extraordinary GOP turnout surge in this safe blue seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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