Market icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10

Market icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10

$776,340 Vol.

Jun 30, 2025
Polymarket

$776,340 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$23,112 Vol.

No

July 10

$30,256 Vol.

No

July 20

$5,608 Vol.

No

August 1

$6,004 Vol.

No

August 15

$22,377 Vol.

No

August 22

$10,575 Vol.

No

August 24

$32,617 Vol.

No

August 25

$21,704 Vol.

No

August 26

$32,300 Vol.

Yes

August 27

$4,483 Vol.

Yes

August 31

$94,282 Vol.

Yes

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?

$177,304 Vol.

No

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$146,298 Vol.

Yes

Successful splash down?

$169,421 Vol.

Yes

If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
音量
$776,340
終了日
Aug 31, 2025
作成日時
Jun 2, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "August 26" at 100%, followed by "August 27" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10" has generated $776.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10" is "August 26" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 27" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.