Traders heavily favor AfD at 89.5% to claim the most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl, propelled by its poll dominance and momentum from topping vote shares in the September 2024 state elections in neighboring Thuringia (33%) and Saxony (31%), despite firewalls blocking coalitions. Recent surveys, including October INSA and Forsa polls, place AfD at 34-36%, well ahead of CDU (26-28%), with BSW, SPD, Greens, FDP, and The Left below 10% amid voter shifts on immigration and economic discontent in eastern Germany. Proportional representation with a 5% threshold reinforces AfD's edge, though national dynamics, scandals, or campaign shifts could narrow the gap before the 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日AfD 90%
CDU 8.8%
SPD <1%
左翼党 <1%
$466,555 Vol.
$466,555 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
90%
CDU
9%
SPD
1%
左翼党
1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
緑の党
<1%
AfD 90%
CDU 8.8%
SPD <1%
左翼党 <1%
$466,555 Vol.
$466,555 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
$4,801 Vol.
90%
CDU
$461,754 Vol.
9%
SPD
$0 Vol.
1%
左翼党
$0 Vol.
1%
FDP
$0 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$0 Vol.
<1%
緑の党
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Traders heavily favor AfD at 89.5% to claim the most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl, propelled by its poll dominance and momentum from topping vote shares in the September 2024 state elections in neighboring Thuringia (33%) and Saxony (31%), despite firewalls blocking coalitions. Recent surveys, including October INSA and Forsa polls, place AfD at 34-36%, well ahead of CDU (26-28%), with BSW, SPD, Greens, FDP, and The Left below 10% amid voter shifts on immigration and economic discontent in eastern Germany. Proportional representation with a 5% threshold reinforces AfD's edge, though national dynamics, scandals, or campaign shifts could narrow the gap before the 2026 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$466,555終了日
Sep 6, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Traders heavily favor AfD at 89.5% to claim the most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl, propelled by its poll dominance and momentum from topping vote shares in the September 2024 state elections in neighboring Thuringia (33%) and Saxony (31%), despite firewalls blocking coalitions. Recent surveys, including October INSA and Forsa polls, place AfD at 34-36%, well ahead of CDU (26-28%), with BSW, SPD, Greens, FDP, and The Left below 10% amid voter shifts on immigration and economic discontent in eastern Germany. Proportional representation with a 5% threshold reinforces AfD's edge, though national dynamics, scandals, or campaign shifts could narrow the gap before the 2026 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
音量
$466,555終了日
Sep 6, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor AfD at 89.5% to claim the most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl, propelled by its poll dominance and momentum from topping vote shares in the September 2024 state elections in neighboring Thuringia (33%) and Saxony (31%), despite firewalls blocking coalitions. Recent surveys, including October INSA and Forsa polls, place AfD at 34-36%, well ahead of CDU (26-28%), with BSW, SPD, Greens, FDP, and The Left below 10% amid voter shifts on immigration and economic discontent in eastern Germany. Proportional representation with a 5% threshold reinforces AfD's edge, though national dynamics, scandals, or campaign shifts could narrow the gap before the 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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