Ongoing battlefield stalemates and escalated Russian offensives in Donbas have solidified trader consensus against a near-term peace parlay, with "No" odds implying 78.5% probability of continued conflict. Ukraine's resilient defensive form, bolstered by Western aid inflows akin to midseason reinforcements, counters Russia's manpower depth but lacks knockout punching power for concessions. No key "injuries" to leadership—Putin and Zelenskyy remain fully active—yet diplomatic "matchup dynamics" show rigid demands (Crimea, neutrality) clashing without neutral-site breakthroughs. Recent momentum favors entrenched positions over truce, echoing historic proxy rivalries where fatigue rarely forces draws before decisive edges emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$368,006 Vol.
$368,006 Vol.
はい
$368,006 Vol.
$368,006 Vol.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
マーケット開始日: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing battlefield stalemates and escalated Russian offensives in Donbas have solidified trader consensus against a near-term peace parlay, with "No" odds implying 78.5% probability of continued conflict. Ukraine's resilient defensive form, bolstered by Western aid inflows akin to midseason reinforcements, counters Russia's manpower depth but lacks knockout punching power for concessions. No key "injuries" to leadership—Putin and Zelenskyy remain fully active—yet diplomatic "matchup dynamics" show rigid demands (Crimea, neutrality) clashing without neutral-site breakthroughs. Recent momentum favors entrenched positions over truce, echoing historic proxy rivalries where fatigue rarely forces draws before decisive edges emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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