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Presidential Election Winner 2024

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Presidential Election Winner 2024

$3,686,335,059 Vol.

Polymarket

$3,686,335,059 Vol.

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Donald Trump

$1,531,479,285 Vol.

Yes

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Joe Biden

$72,176,112 Vol.

No

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Nikki Haley

$107,529,158 Vol.

No

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Gavin Newsom

$54,161,276 Vol.

No

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$141,605,111 Vol.

No

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Ron DeSantis

$46,309,049 Vol.

No

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$21,181,731 Vol.

No

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Kamala Harris

$1,037,039,118 Vol.

No

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Chris Christie

$14,192,736 Vol.

No

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Elizabeth Warren

$14,714,814 Vol.

No

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Bernie Sanders

$9,829,356 Vol.

No

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AOC

$22,011,561 Vol.

No

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Other Democrat Politician

$116,558,196 Vol.

No

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Other Republican Politician

$241,655,100 Vol.

No

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Kanye

$9,203,012 Vol.

No

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Michelle Obama

$153,382,276 Vol.

No

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Hillary Clinton

$93,307,168 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Democratic Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Democrat for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Democrat before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Democratic Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Republican Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Republican for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Republican before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Republican Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
音量
$3,686,335,059
終了日
Nov 5, 2024
マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2024, 6:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Democratic Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Democrat for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Democrat before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Democratic Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Republican Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Republican for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Republican before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Republican Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Presidential Election Winner 2024」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Donald Trump」で100%、次いで「Joe Biden」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Presidential Election Winner 2024」は$3.7 billionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 4, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Presidential Election Winner 2024」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Presidential Election Winner 2024」の現在のフロントランナーは「Donald Trump」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Joe Biden」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Presidential Election Winner 2024」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。