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選挙·ペンシルベニア州予備選挙

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

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選挙·ペンシルベニア州予備選挙

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 70%

Ryan Crosswell 15%

Lamont McClure 9%

Lewis Shupe 5.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Bob Brooks 70%

Ryan Crosswell 15%

Lamont McClure 9%

Lewis Shupe 5.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Bob Brooks

$0 Vol.

70%

Ryan Crosswell

$0 Vol.

15%

Lamont McClure

$0 Vol.

9%

Lewis Shupe

$1,284 Vol.

5%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$2,793 Vol.

5%

Aiden Gonzalez

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 69.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, propelled by a recent Change Research survey where he surged to 30% support among informed primary voters—well ahead of Ryan Crosswell (18%) and others tied at 17%—after an initial 53% undecided ballot test. High-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, and labor groups like the International Association of Fire Fighters bolster his working-class firefighter appeal in the blue-collar Lehigh Valley battleground. March 11 state filings finalized the ballot with four main candidates after Aiden Gonzalez and Lewis Shupe failed signature thresholds, while a March 21 grassroots nod from Democrats Work For America adds momentum; Crosswell's top fundraising trails due to less voter resonance.

Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 69.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, propelled by a recent Change Research survey where he surged to 30% support among informed primary voters—well ahead of Ryan Crosswell (18%) and others tied at 17%—after an initial 53% undecided ballot test. High-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, and labor groups like the International Association of Fire Fighters bolster his working-class firefighter appeal in the blue-collar Lehigh Valley battleground. March 11 state filings finalized the ballot with four main candidates after Aiden Gonzalez and Lewis Shupe failed signature thresholds, while a March 21 grassroots nod from Democrats Work For America adds momentum; Crosswell's top fundraising trails due to less voter resonance.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 69.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, propelled by a recent Change Research survey where he surged to 30% support among informed primary voters—well ahead of Ryan Crosswell (18%) and others tied at 17%—after an initial 53% undecided ballot test. High-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, and labor groups like the International Association of Fire Fighters bolster his working-class firefighter appeal in the blue-collar Lehigh Valley battleground. March 11 state filings finalized the ballot with four main candidates after Aiden Gonzalez and Lewis Shupe failed signature thresholds, while a March 21 grassroots nod from Democrats Work For America adds momentum; Crosswell's top fundraising trails due to less voter resonance.

Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 69.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, propelled by a recent Change Research survey where he surged to 30% support among informed primary voters—well ahead of Ryan Crosswell (18%) and others tied at 17%—after an initial 53% undecided ballot test. High-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, and labor groups like the International Association of Fire Fighters bolster his working-class firefighter appeal in the blue-collar Lehigh Valley battleground. March 11 state filings finalized the ballot with four main candidates after Aiden Gonzalez and Lewis Shupe failed signature thresholds, while a March 21 grassroots nod from Democrats Work For America adds momentum; Crosswell's top fundraising trails due to less voter resonance.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Bob Brooks」で70%、次いで「Ryan Crosswell」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、70¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に70%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 20, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Bob Brooks」で70%であり、市場がこの結果に70%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Ryan Crosswell」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。