Incumbent Republican Max Miller holds a commanding lead in Ohio's 7th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with a partisan lean of R+14 per Cook PVI, fueling trader consensus at 79% for a GOP win as Election Day approaches on November 5. Recent polls, including an October internal survey showing Miller ahead 55%-35%, underscore his incumbency advantage and weak Democratic challenger Brian Kazy's struggles with fundraising and name recognition. Early voting trends favor Republicans statewide, while national House control dynamics amplify the district's safe status amid GOP momentum in battleground Ohio. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the past week, solidifying the implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
79%
民主党
22%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
79%
民主党
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Max Miller holds a commanding lead in Ohio's 7th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with a partisan lean of R+14 per Cook PVI, fueling trader consensus at 79% for a GOP win as Election Day approaches on November 5. Recent polls, including an October internal survey showing Miller ahead 55%-35%, underscore his incumbency advantage and weak Democratic challenger Brian Kazy's struggles with fundraising and name recognition. Early voting trends favor Republicans statewide, while national House control dynamics amplify the district's safe status amid GOP momentum in battleground Ohio. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the past week, solidifying the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Max Miller holds a commanding lead in Ohio's 7th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with a partisan lean of R+14 per Cook PVI, fueling trader consensus at 79% for a GOP win as Election Day approaches on November 5. Recent polls, including an October internal survey showing Miller ahead 55%-35%, underscore his incumbency advantage and weak Democratic challenger Brian Kazy's struggles with fundraising and name recognition. Early voting trends favor Republicans statewide, while national House control dynamics amplify the district's safe status amid GOP momentum in battleground Ohio. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the past week, solidifying the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Max Miller holds a commanding lead in Ohio's 7th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with a partisan lean of R+14 per Cook PVI, fueling trader consensus at 79% for a GOP win as Election Day approaches on November 5. Recent polls, including an October internal survey showing Miller ahead 55%-35%, underscore his incumbency advantage and weak Democratic challenger Brian Kazy's struggles with fundraising and name recognition. Early voting trends favor Republicans statewide, while national House control dynamics amplify the district's safe status amid GOP momentum in battleground Ohio. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the past week, solidifying the implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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