Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty's commanding position in solidly Democratic Ohio's 3rd Congressional District (Cook PVI D+21) drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party, bolstered by her $2.7 million cash-on-hand advantage through late 2025 and consistent 70% general election margins in recent cycles. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican field features only Cleophus Dulaney, a prior primary loser with Jan. 6-related charges and no reported fundraising. Recent candidate filings ahead of the May 5 primaries confirmed these lopsided matchups, with no polling shifts. Potential challengers include a Beatty primary upset by Joe Gerard, post-primary GOP recruitment, a Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$16,642 Vol.
$16,642 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$16,642 Vol.
$16,642 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$16,642 Vol.
94%
共和党
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty's commanding position in solidly Democratic Ohio's 3rd Congressional District (Cook PVI D+21) drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party, bolstered by her $2.7 million cash-on-hand advantage through late 2025 and consistent 70% general election margins in recent cycles. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican field features only Cleophus Dulaney, a prior primary loser with Jan. 6-related charges and no reported fundraising. Recent candidate filings ahead of the May 5 primaries confirmed these lopsided matchups, with no polling shifts. Potential challengers include a Beatty primary upset by Joe Gerard, post-primary GOP recruitment, a Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$16,642終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty's commanding position in solidly Democratic Ohio's 3rd Congressional District (Cook PVI D+21) drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party, bolstered by her $2.7 million cash-on-hand advantage through late 2025 and consistent 70% general election margins in recent cycles. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican field features only Cleophus Dulaney, a prior primary loser with Jan. 6-related charges and no reported fundraising. Recent candidate filings ahead of the May 5 primaries confirmed these lopsided matchups, with no polling shifts. Potential challengers include a Beatty primary upset by Joe Gerard, post-primary GOP recruitment, a Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,642終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty's commanding position in solidly Democratic Ohio's 3rd Congressional District (Cook PVI D+21) drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party, bolstered by her $2.7 million cash-on-hand advantage through late 2025 and consistent 70% general election margins in recent cycles. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican field features only Cleophus Dulaney, a prior primary loser with Jan. 6-related charges and no reported fundraising. Recent candidate filings ahead of the May 5 primaries confirmed these lopsided matchups, with no polling shifts. Potential challengers include a Beatty primary upset by Joe Gerard, post-primary GOP recruitment, a Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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