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政治·米国選挙

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·米国選挙

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Eric Conroy 67%

Steven Erbeck 18%

Holly Adams 14%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,820 Vol.

Eric Conroy 67%

Steven Erbeck 18%

Holly Adams 14%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,820 Vol.

Eric Conroy

$11,820 Vol.

67%

Steven Erbeck

$0 Vol.

18%

Holly Adams

$0 Vol.

14%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry

$0 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $425,000 raised by late 2025 and strong Q4 reports into February 2026—providing a clear edge in advertising and ground efforts. The district's redistricting in October 2025 shifted it to a Republican-leaning toss-up (R+3 to R+5), enhancing appeal for Conroy's national security credentials against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Challengers Steven Erbeck (dentist), Holly Adams (businesswoman), and Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (nonprofit CEO) share the rest at 18%, 14%, and 14%, with no recent polls or endorsements altering dynamics since March 17 candidate profiles and March 12 certification; early voting deadlines loom as key catalysts.

Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $425,000 raised by late 2025 and strong Q4 reports into February 2026—providing a clear edge in advertising and ground efforts. The district's redistricting in October 2025 shifted it to a Republican-leaning toss-up (R+3 to R+5), enhancing appeal for Conroy's national security credentials against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Challengers Steven Erbeck (dentist), Holly Adams (businesswoman), and Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (nonprofit CEO) share the rest at 18%, 14%, and 14%, with no recent polls or endorsements altering dynamics since March 17 candidate profiles and March 12 certification; early voting deadlines loom as key catalysts.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $425,000 raised by late 2025 and strong Q4 reports into February 2026—providing a clear edge in advertising and ground efforts. The district's redistricting in October 2025 shifted it to a Republican-leaning toss-up (R+3 to R+5), enhancing appeal for Conroy's national security credentials against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Challengers Steven Erbeck (dentist), Holly Adams (businesswoman), and Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (nonprofit CEO) share the rest at 18%, 14%, and 14%, with no recent polls or endorsements altering dynamics since March 17 candidate profiles and March 12 certification; early voting deadlines loom as key catalysts.

Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $425,000 raised by late 2025 and strong Q4 reports into February 2026—providing a clear edge in advertising and ground efforts. The district's redistricting in October 2025 shifted it to a Republican-leaning toss-up (R+3 to R+5), enhancing appeal for Conroy's national security credentials against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Challengers Steven Erbeck (dentist), Holly Adams (businesswoman), and Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (nonprofit CEO) share the rest at 18%, 14%, and 14%, with no recent polls or endorsements altering dynamics since March 17 candidate profiles and March 12 certification; early voting deadlines loom as key catalysts.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「OH-01 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Eric Conroy」で67%、次いで「Steven Erbeck」が18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、67¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に67%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OH-01 Republican Primary Winner」は$11.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「OH-01 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OH-01 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Eric Conroy」で67%であり、市場がこの結果に67%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Steven Erbeck」で18%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OH-01 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。