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政治·韓国

韓国の補欠選挙でDPが獲得した議席数は？

Market icon
政治·韓国

韓国の補欠選挙でDPが獲得した議席数は？

10以上 55.5%

8〜9 37.8%

6～7 6.4%

2〜3 3.1%

Polymarket

$19,861 Vol.

10以上 55.5%

8〜9 37.8%

6～7 6.4%

2〜3 3.1%

Polymarket

$19,861 Vol.

0〜1

$1,927 Vol.

<1%

2〜3

$3,668 Vol.

3%

4〜5

$2,140 Vol.

1%

6～7

$2,096 Vol.

6%

8〜9

$2,519 Vol.

38%

10以上

$7,511 Vol.

55%

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) capturing 10 or more seats at 55.4% implied probability in National Assembly by-elections on June 3 alongside local elections, reflecting President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating surging to 69% in a March 26 national poll—its highest since inauguration—and robust district surveys like 50% DP versus 14% People Power Party (PPP) in Incheon Yeonsu-gu A. All seven confirmed vacancies stem from DP incumbents resigning for local races or ineligibility, with additional seats anticipated as May 4 nomination deadlines trigger further exits from DP strongholds such as Ansan-si A and Asan-si B. National support stands at 46% DP against 18% PPP per recent NBS polling, underscoring the ruling party's incumbency edge and opposition struggles amid past internal divisions.

Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) capturing 10 or more seats at 55.4% implied probability in National Assembly by-elections on June 3 alongside local elections, reflecting President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating surging to 69% in a March 26 national poll—its highest since inauguration—and robust district surveys like 50% DP versus 14% People Power Party (PPP) in Incheon Yeonsu-gu A. All seven confirmed vacancies stem from DP incumbents resigning for local races or ineligibility, with additional seats anticipated as May 4 nomination deadlines trigger further exits from DP strongholds such as Ansan-si A and Asan-si B. National support stands at 46% DP against 18% PPP per recent NBS polling, underscoring the ruling party's incumbency edge and opposition struggles amid past internal divisions.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) capturing 10 or more seats at 55.4% implied probability in National Assembly by-elections on June 3 alongside local elections, reflecting President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating surging to 69% in a March 26 national poll—its highest since inauguration—and robust district surveys like 50% DP versus 14% People Power Party (PPP) in Incheon Yeonsu-gu A. All seven confirmed vacancies stem from DP incumbents resigning for local races or ineligibility, with additional seats anticipated as May 4 nomination deadlines trigger further exits from DP strongholds such as Ansan-si A and Asan-si B. National support stands at 46% DP against 18% PPP per recent NBS polling, underscoring the ruling party's incumbency edge and opposition struggles amid past internal divisions.

Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) capturing 10 or more seats at 55.4% implied probability in National Assembly by-elections on June 3 alongside local elections, reflecting President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating surging to 69% in a March 26 national poll—its highest since inauguration—and robust district surveys like 50% DP versus 14% People Power Party (PPP) in Incheon Yeonsu-gu A. All seven confirmed vacancies stem from DP incumbents resigning for local races or ineligibility, with additional seats anticipated as May 4 nomination deadlines trigger further exits from DP strongholds such as Ansan-si A and Asan-si B. National support stands at 46% DP against 18% PPP per recent NBS polling, underscoring the ruling party's incumbency edge and opposition struggles amid past internal divisions.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「韓国の補欠選挙でDPが獲得した議席数は？」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「10以上」で56%、次いで「8〜9」が38%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、56¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に56%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「韓国の補欠選挙でDPが獲得した議席数は？」は$19.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 12, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「韓国の補欠選挙でDPが獲得した議席数は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「韓国の補欠選挙でDPが獲得した議席数は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「10以上」で56%であり、市場がこの結果に56%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「8〜9」で38%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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